Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 19–20°C for Istanbul on September 12 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s, and surface pressure near 1015–1016 hPa, consistent with typical early-September radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–21°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew point (near 17–19°C), or urban heat island effects from the Bosphorus can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C, while higher outcomes above 22°C remain improbable given the stable high-pressure regime and absence of warmer advection. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows limited model spread at this stage, with the daily minimum expected before sunrise on September 13.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 12?
14°C or below 98%
15°C 98%
16°C 98%
17°C 98%
14°C or below
98%
15°C
98%
16°C
98%
17°C
98%
18°C
98%
19°C
92%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
14°C or below 98%
15°C 98%
16°C 98%
17°C 98%
14°C or below
98%
15°C
98%
16°C
98%
17°C
98%
18°C
98%
19°C
92%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate an overnight low near 19–20°C for Istanbul on September 12 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds of 3–7 m/s, and surface pressure near 1015–1016 hPa, consistent with typical early-September radiative cooling. Trader consensus clusters around 16–21°C because small differences in cloud cover, dew point (near 17–19°C), or urban heat island effects from the Bosphorus can shift the precise minimum by 1–2°C, while higher outcomes above 22°C remain improbable given the stable high-pressure regime and absence of warmer advection. Official guidance from regional meteorological services shows limited model spread at this stage, with the daily minimum expected before sunrise on September 13.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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