Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 18–19°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, drawn from official monitoring and model runs showing seasonal cooling from summer highs, underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 15–21°C. Uncertainty persists due to minor model disagreements on exact timing of cloud cover and localized urban heat effects, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Higher outcomes above 22°C carry negligible weight given observed cooling trends, while sub-14°C scenarios remain unlikely without unexpected frontal activity. Updated observations and evening model revisions will clarify resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 20?
15°C 94%
16°C 94%
17°C 94%
20°C 94%
$232 Обс.
$232 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
15°C 94%
16°C 94%
17°C 94%
20°C 94%
$232 Обс.
$232 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
No
15°C
$0 Обс.
No
16°C
$0 Обс.
No
17°C
$0 Обс.
No
18°C
$81 Обс.
No
19°C
$53 Обс.
No
20°C
$5 Обс.
No
21°C
$0 Обс.
Yes
22°C
$31 Обс.
No
23°C
$31 Обс.
No
24°C or higher
$31 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 18–19°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, drawn from official monitoring and model runs showing seasonal cooling from summer highs, underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 15–21°C. Uncertainty persists due to minor model disagreements on exact timing of cloud cover and localized urban heat effects, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Higher outcomes above 22°C carry negligible weight given observed cooling trends, while sub-14°C scenarios remain unlikely without unexpected frontal activity. Updated observations and evening model revisions will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$232Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 18–19°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, drawn from official monitoring and model runs showing seasonal cooling from summer highs, underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 15–21°C. Uncertainty persists due to minor model disagreements on exact timing of cloud cover and localized urban heat effects, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Higher outcomes above 22°C carry negligible weight given observed cooling trends, while sub-14°C scenarios remain unlikely without unexpected frontal activity. Updated observations and evening model revisions will clarify resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$232Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate Istanbul's overnight low on September 20 will likely settle near 18–19°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, drawn from official monitoring and model runs showing seasonal cooling from summer highs, underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 15–21°C. Uncertainty persists due to minor model disagreements on exact timing of cloud cover and localized urban heat effects, which could nudge the minimum by 1–2°C. Higher outcomes above 22°C carry negligible weight given observed cooling trends, while sub-14°C scenarios remain unlikely without unexpected frontal activity. Updated observations and evening model revisions will clarify resolution thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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