Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models and official sources, including northerly winds and persistent heavy rain or showers over Istanbul on September 22, supports a minimum temperature of 15°C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with observed overnight cooling under cloudy, breezy conditions that limit radiative heat loss while preventing deeper drops. Multiple runs show lows clustered near 15–16°C, consistent with transitional autumn patterns where regional sea surface temperatures moderate extremes. Lower probabilities for 14°C or below reflect limited downside risk from current atmospheric stability, while higher outcomes remain negligible given the established cool, moist air mass. Updated model guidance and official minimum readings from stations like Atatürk Airport will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 22?
15°C 100.0%
11°C 1.0%
10°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$395 Обс.
$395 Обс.
Sep 22, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
11°C 1.0%
10°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$395 Обс.
$395 Обс.
Sep 22, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
No
11°C
$0 Обс.
No
12°C
$0 Обс.
No
13°C
$0 Обс.
No
14°C
$0 Обс.
No
15°C
$205 Обс.
Yes
16°C
$60 Обс.
No
17°C
$50 Обс.
No
18°C
$45 Обс.
No
19°C
$15 Обс.
No
20°C or higher
$20 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models and official sources, including northerly winds and persistent heavy rain or showers over Istanbul on September 22, supports a minimum temperature of 15°C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with observed overnight cooling under cloudy, breezy conditions that limit radiative heat loss while preventing deeper drops. Multiple runs show lows clustered near 15–16°C, consistent with transitional autumn patterns where regional sea surface temperatures moderate extremes. Lower probabilities for 14°C or below reflect limited downside risk from current atmospheric stability, while higher outcomes remain negligible given the established cool, moist air mass. Updated model guidance and official minimum readings from stations like Atatürk Airport will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$395Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models and official sources, including northerly winds and persistent heavy rain or showers over Istanbul on September 22, supports a minimum temperature of 15°C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with observed overnight cooling under cloudy, breezy conditions that limit radiative heat loss while preventing deeper drops. Multiple runs show lows clustered near 15–16°C, consistent with transitional autumn patterns where regional sea surface temperatures moderate extremes. Lower probabilities for 14°C or below reflect limited downside risk from current atmospheric stability, while higher outcomes remain negligible given the established cool, moist air mass. Updated model guidance and official minimum readings from stations like Atatürk Airport will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$395Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent forecast consensus from meteorological models and official sources, including northerly winds and persistent heavy rain or showers over Istanbul on September 22, supports a minimum temperature of 15°C as the most probable outcome. This aligns with observed overnight cooling under cloudy, breezy conditions that limit radiative heat loss while preventing deeper drops. Multiple runs show lows clustered near 15–16°C, consistent with transitional autumn patterns where regional sea surface temperatures moderate extremes. Lower probabilities for 14°C or below reflect limited downside risk from current atmospheric stability, while higher outcomes remain negligible given the established cool, moist air mass. Updated model guidance and official minimum readings from stations like Atatürk Airport will determine final resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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