Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on July 2?
Lowest temperature in London on July 2?
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$30,910 Обс.
$30,910 Обс.
Jul 2, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$30,910 Обс.
$30,910 Обс.
Jul 2, 2026
12°C or below
$1,671 Обс.
No
13°C
$920 Обс.
No
14°C
$2,024 Обс.
No
15°C
$1,194 Обс.
No
16°C
$2,032 Обс.
No
17°C
$6,470 Обс.
Yes
18°C
$6,167 Обс.
No
19°C
$3,161 Обс.
No
20°C
$3,509 Обс.
No
21°C
$1,981 Обс.
No
22°C or higher
$1,780 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,910Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$30,910Дата завершення
Jul 2, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus indicate a minimum temperature near 15–16°C for London on July 2, driven by a mild southwesterly flow under slack high pressure that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Light winds and variable cloud cover are expected to moderate heat loss from the urban surface, while the city’s heat-island effect adds roughly 1–2°C compared with rural sites. With leading market probabilities tightly clustered between 15°C and 18°C, traders are weighting the spread in forecast guidance—particularly differences in predicted cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing—alongside climatological July overnight lows near 14°C. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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