Recent forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate London will see daytime highs near 22–23°C on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds, followed by radiative cooling overnight as skies clear and winds shift westerly. This setup positions overnight lows around 13–16°C, with the precise minimum hinging on the timing of cloud dissipation and urban heat retention. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 16°C and 15°C outcomes, aligns with ensemble guidance showing mild Atlantic air moderating temperatures above typical early-autumn baselines while limiting deeper cooling. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 15?
Lowest temperature in London on September 15?
16°C 64%
15°C 16%
17°C 12%
14°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
4%
15°C
16%
16°C
64%
17°C
12%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 64%
15°C 16%
17°C 12%
14°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$198 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$102 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$287 Обс.
2%
14°C
$203 Обс.
4%
15°C
$1,470 Обс.
16%
16°C
$663 Обс.
64%
17°C
$1,052 Обс.
12%
18°C
$510 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$389 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$65 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$20 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate London will see daytime highs near 22–23°C on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds, followed by radiative cooling overnight as skies clear and winds shift westerly. This setup positions overnight lows around 13–16°C, with the precise minimum hinging on the timing of cloud dissipation and urban heat retention. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 16°C and 15°C outcomes, aligns with ensemble guidance showing mild Atlantic air moderating temperatures above typical early-autumn baselines while limiting deeper cooling. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,960Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate London will see daytime highs near 22–23°C on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds, followed by radiative cooling overnight as skies clear and winds shift westerly. This setup positions overnight lows around 13–16°C, with the precise minimum hinging on the timing of cloud dissipation and urban heat retention. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 16°C and 15°C outcomes, aligns with ensemble guidance showing mild Atlantic air moderating temperatures above typical early-autumn baselines while limiting deeper cooling. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,960Дата завершення
Sep 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from the Met Office and other agencies indicate London will see daytime highs near 22–23°C on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds, followed by radiative cooling overnight as skies clear and winds shift westerly. This setup positions overnight lows around 13–16°C, with the precise minimum hinging on the timing of cloud dissipation and urban heat retention. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 16°C and 15°C outcomes, aligns with ensemble guidance showing mild Atlantic air moderating temperatures above typical early-autumn baselines while limiting deeper cooling. Updated model runs and any late-day observations will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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