**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C minimum in Qingdao on September 3, reflecting model consensus from regional forecasts showing clear skies, light northeast winds of 3–4 m/s, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under dry conditions typical for early September.** Current observational trends and ensemble runs place the overnight low near this threshold, consistent with historical September minima around 18°C but tempered by the present stable high-pressure pattern. Uncertainties remain in boundary-layer mixing or minor advection shifts that could push readings to 14°C or below, though the low probability on warmer outcomes indicates limited upside risk from delayed cooling or urban heat effects at official stations. Updated model guidance or real-time station data later today represent the key resolution catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 3?
15°C 97%
14°C or below 22%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
22%
15°C
84%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
15°C 97%
14°C or below 22%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 3, 2026
14°C or below
$16 Обс.
22%
15°C
$262 Обс.
84%
16°C
$678 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$419 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$247 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$247 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$66 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$60 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$80 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$60 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$30 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C minimum in Qingdao on September 3, reflecting model consensus from regional forecasts showing clear skies, light northeast winds of 3–4 m/s, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under dry conditions typical for early September.**
Current observational trends and ensemble runs place the overnight low near this threshold, consistent with historical September minima around 18°C but tempered by the present stable high-pressure pattern. Uncertainties remain in boundary-layer mixing or minor advection shifts that could push readings to 14°C or below, though the low probability on warmer outcomes indicates limited upside risk from delayed cooling or urban heat effects at official stations. Updated model guidance or real-time station data later today represent the key resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,166Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C minimum in Qingdao on September 3, reflecting model consensus from regional forecasts showing clear skies, light northeast winds of 3–4 m/s, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under dry conditions typical for early September.**
Current observational trends and ensemble runs place the overnight low near this threshold, consistent with historical September minima around 18°C but tempered by the present stable high-pressure pattern. Uncertainties remain in boundary-layer mixing or minor advection shifts that could push readings to 14°C or below, though the low probability on warmer outcomes indicates limited upside risk from delayed cooling or urban heat effects at official stations. Updated model guidance or real-time station data later today represent the key resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,166Дата завершення
Sep 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 15°C minimum in Qingdao on September 3, reflecting model consensus from regional forecasts showing clear skies, light northeast winds of 3–4 m/s, and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under dry conditions typical for early September.** Current observational trends and ensemble runs place the overnight low near this threshold, consistent with historical September minima around 18°C but tempered by the present stable high-pressure pattern. Uncertainties remain in boundary-layer mixing or minor advection shifts that could push readings to 14°C or below, though the low probability on warmer outcomes indicates limited upside risk from delayed cooling or urban heat effects at official stations. Updated model guidance or real-time station data later today represent the key resolution catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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