Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Yellow Sea coast are anchoring expectations for Qingdao’s September 5 overnight low near 19–20 °C, with light northeast-to-east winds limiting mixing and allowing modest radiational cooling. Model consensus from global and regional guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-teens, yet small differences in boundary-layer wind speed and sea-breeze timing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology for the station places typical lows around 18 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. With Polymarket probabilities clustered within 2 percentage points across 17–21 °C outcomes, traders appear to be pricing the remaining ensemble spread and the final China Meteorological Administration update expected before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 5?
17°C or below 95%
27°C or higher 94%
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
17°C or below
95%
18°C
27%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C or higher
94%
17°C or below 95%
27°C or higher 94%
21°C 49%
23°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 5, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Обс.
95%
18°C
$0 Обс.
27%
19°C
$0 Обс.
27%
20°C
$0 Обс.
27%
21°C
$0 Обс.
49%
22°C
$0 Обс.
2%
23°C
$0 Обс.
49%
24°C
$0 Обс.
49%
25°C
$0 Обс.
49%
26°C
$0 Обс.
49%
27°C or higher
$0 Обс.
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Yellow Sea coast are anchoring expectations for Qingdao’s September 5 overnight low near 19–20 °C, with light northeast-to-east winds limiting mixing and allowing modest radiational cooling. Model consensus from global and regional guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-teens, yet small differences in boundary-layer wind speed and sea-breeze timing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology for the station places typical lows around 18 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. With Polymarket probabilities clustered within 2 percentage points across 17–21 °C outcomes, traders appear to be pricing the remaining ensemble spread and the final China Meteorological Administration update expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Yellow Sea coast are anchoring expectations for Qingdao’s September 5 overnight low near 19–20 °C, with light northeast-to-east winds limiting mixing and allowing modest radiational cooling. Model consensus from global and regional guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-teens, yet small differences in boundary-layer wind speed and sea-breeze timing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology for the station places typical lows around 18 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. With Polymarket probabilities clustered within 2 percentage points across 17–21 °C outcomes, traders appear to be pricing the remaining ensemble spread and the final China Meteorological Administration update expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over the Yellow Sea coast are anchoring expectations for Qingdao’s September 5 overnight low near 19–20 °C, with light northeast-to-east winds limiting mixing and allowing modest radiational cooling. Model consensus from global and regional guidance shows minimal cloud cover and dew points in the mid-teens, yet small differences in boundary-layer wind speed and sea-breeze timing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Historical September climatology for the station places typical lows around 18 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average. With Polymarket probabilities clustered within 2 percentage points across 17–21 °C outcomes, traders appear to be pricing the remaining ensemble spread and the final China Meteorological Administration update expected before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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