Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, producing a minimum near 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 4. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and September climatology (typical lows 17–19°C) limit further drops, while calm conditions could allow localized cooling to the mid-teens in sheltered areas. Traders appear to weigh these factors against model spread in boundary-layer temperature and wind, creating tight odds around 17°C versus cooler or milder thresholds. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and hourly observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 4?
14°C or below 71%
24°C or higher 71%
16°C 50%
19°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
71%
15°C
27%
16°C
50%
17°C
38%
18°C
24%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22°C
49%
23°C
50%
24°C or higher
71%
14°C or below 71%
24°C or higher 71%
16°C 50%
19°C 50%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 4, 2026
14°C or below
$0 Обс.
71%
15°C
$0 Обс.
27%
16°C
$0 Обс.
50%
17°C
$0 Обс.
38%
18°C
$66 Обс.
24%
19°C
$0 Обс.
50%
20°C
$0 Обс.
50%
21°C
$0 Обс.
50%
22°C
$0 Обс.
49%
23°C
$0 Обс.
50%
24°C or higher
$0 Обс.
71%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, producing a minimum near 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 4. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and September climatology (typical lows 17–19°C) limit further drops, while calm conditions could allow localized cooling to the mid-teens in sheltered areas. Traders appear to weigh these factors against model spread in boundary-layer temperature and wind, creating tight odds around 17°C versus cooler or milder thresholds. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and hourly observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$66Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, producing a minimum near 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 4. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and September climatology (typical lows 17–19°C) limit further drops, while calm conditions could allow localized cooling to the mid-teens in sheltered areas. Traders appear to weigh these factors against model spread in boundary-layer temperature and wind, creating tight odds around 17°C versus cooler or milder thresholds. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and hourly observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$66Дата завершення
Sep 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light northeasterly flow, producing a minimum near 20–21°C for Qingdao on September 4. Coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea and September climatology (typical lows 17–19°C) limit further drops, while calm conditions could allow localized cooling to the mid-teens in sheltered areas. Traders appear to weigh these factors against model spread in boundary-layer temperature and wind, creating tight odds around 17°C versus cooler or milder thresholds. Updated China Meteorological Administration guidance and hourly observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання