**Current forecasts from sources like Chinese meteorological services and international models point to a September 6 low near 20–22°C for Qingdao, yet market-implied odds place the strongest weight on 16°C or below at 50%.** This positioning reflects trader assessment of model spread and recent atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds that can enhance nocturnal cooling along the coast. Historical September minima average 18–20°C, with occasional drops below 17°C when high pressure strengthens or maritime air modifies. Key variables include the precise timing of any wind shift or cloud cover changes that affect radiative cooling overnight. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 6?
16°C or below 100%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
24°C 49%
16°C or below
100%
17°C
26%
18°C
28%
19°C
29%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C
48%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
47%
16°C or below 100%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
24°C 49%
16°C or below
100%
17°C
26%
18°C
28%
19°C
29%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
2%
23°C
48%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C or higher
47%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from sources like Chinese meteorological services and international models point to a September 6 low near 20–22°C for Qingdao, yet market-implied odds place the strongest weight on 16°C or below at 50%.** This positioning reflects trader assessment of model spread and recent atmospheric patterns, including northeast winds that can enhance nocturnal cooling along the coast. Historical September minima average 18–20°C, with occasional drops below 17°C when high pressure strengthens or maritime air modifies. Key variables include the precise timing of any wind shift or cloud cover changes that affect radiative cooling overnight. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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