Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on April 29?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on April 29?
9°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$19,337 Обс.
$19,337 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
9°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$19,337 Обс.
$19,337 Обс.
Apr 29, 2026
4°C or below
$527 Обс.
No
5°C
$384 Обс.
No
6°C
$548 Обс.
No
7°C
$3,185 Обс.
No
8°C
$3,977 Обс.
No
9°C
$4,768 Обс.
Yes
10°C
$2,178 Обс.
No
11°C
$200 Обс.
No
12°C
$1,291 Обс.
No
13°C
$1,022 Обс.
No
14°C or higher
$1,256 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,337Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$19,337Дата завершення
Apr 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 27, 2026, 12:01 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated early on April 29, pins Seoul's morning low at 9°C, driving the market's 99.3% implied probability on this outcome amid high-confidence model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. Clear skies overnight and light winds have enabled radiative cooling to this level, aligning with typical late-April diurnal patterns in the Seoul basin where urban heat islands moderate extremes but morning minima often dip to single digits Celsius. Historical data shows April 29 averages around 8–10°C lows, reinforcing trader sentiment. Realistic challenges include unexpected high cloud cover trapping heat or a minor cold air surge, potentially nudging the official KMA station reading to 8°C; final observations expected by evening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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