Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 20 project a minimum temperature near 24°C under continued influence of a strong Pacific High, consistent with seasonal norms where nighttime lows average 23–25°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited cooling potential without incoming frontal systems or typhoon remnants, keeping probabilities concentrated on 24–25°C outcomes that together exceed 77% in trader positioning. Updated guidance issued August 18 reinforces above-normal daytime highs near 32–33°C with minimal overnight relief, aligning with historical patterns for mid-August when diurnal ranges narrow. Final resolution will hinge on official JMA observations, with any late-model shifts in steering flow or cloud cover the main variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 20?
25°C 55%
26°C 14%
24°C 14%
23°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
11%
24°C
26%
25°C
48%
26°C
14%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 55%
26°C 14%
24°C 14%
23°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
$9 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$9 Обс.
1%
22°C
$4 Обс.
6%
23°C
$4 Обс.
11%
24°C
$4 Обс.
26%
25°C
$17 Обс.
48%
26°C
$16 Обс.
14%
27°C
$4 Обс.
9%
28°C
$4 Обс.
4%
29°C
$4 Обс.
1%
30°C or higher
$4 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 20 project a minimum temperature near 24°C under continued influence of a strong Pacific High, consistent with seasonal norms where nighttime lows average 23–25°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited cooling potential without incoming frontal systems or typhoon remnants, keeping probabilities concentrated on 24–25°C outcomes that together exceed 77% in trader positioning. Updated guidance issued August 18 reinforces above-normal daytime highs near 32–33°C with minimal overnight relief, aligning with historical patterns for mid-August when diurnal ranges narrow. Final resolution will hinge on official JMA observations, with any late-model shifts in steering flow or cloud cover the main variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$76Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 20 project a minimum temperature near 24°C under continued influence of a strong Pacific High, consistent with seasonal norms where nighttime lows average 23–25°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited cooling potential without incoming frontal systems or typhoon remnants, keeping probabilities concentrated on 24–25°C outcomes that together exceed 77% in trader positioning. Updated guidance issued August 18 reinforces above-normal daytime highs near 32–33°C with minimal overnight relief, aligning with historical patterns for mid-August when diurnal ranges narrow. Final resolution will hinge on official JMA observations, with any late-model shifts in steering flow or cloud cover the main variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$76Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 20 project a minimum temperature near 24°C under continued influence of a strong Pacific High, consistent with seasonal norms where nighttime lows average 23–25°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus from recent runs shows limited cooling potential without incoming frontal systems or typhoon remnants, keeping probabilities concentrated on 24–25°C outcomes that together exceed 77% in trader positioning. Updated guidance issued August 18 reinforces above-normal daytime highs near 32–33°C with minimal overnight relief, aligning with historical patterns for mid-August when diurnal ranges narrow. Final resolution will hinge on official JMA observations, with any late-model shifts in steering flow or cloud cover the main variables that could adjust these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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