National and Labour remain locked in a tight contest for second place under New Zealand’s MMP system ahead of the 7 November 2026 election, with recent polls showing Labour ahead by narrow margins in some surveys and National leading or tied in others. Incumbent National has faced internal leadership pressure and coalition tensions over taxes, a proposed MMP referendum, and social media policy, yet its support has proven resilient in the high 20s to low 30s. Labour has gained modestly but failed to convert government vulnerabilities into decisive leads. Minor parties such as NZ First, the Greens, and the Opportunity Party trail well behind in aggregated projections, leaving the outcome between the two largest parties highly sensitive to turnout and late shifts in voter preference.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 53%
Labour Party 41%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$18,387 Обс.
$18,387 Обс.
Nov 6, 2026
National Party
53%
Labour Party
41%
New Zealand First Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
Green Party
<1%
National Party 53%
Labour Party 41%
New Zealand First Party <1%
Te Pāti Māori <1%
$18,387 Обс.
$18,387 Обс.
Nov 6, 2026
National Party
$8,991 Обс.
53%
Labour Party
$5,028 Обс.
41%
New Zealand First Party
$1,262 Обс.
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,322 Обс.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,243 Обс.
<1%
Green Party
$542 Обс.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).National and Labour remain locked in a tight contest for second place under New Zealand’s MMP system ahead of the 7 November 2026 election, with recent polls showing Labour ahead by narrow margins in some surveys and National leading or tied in others. Incumbent National has faced internal leadership pressure and coalition tensions over taxes, a proposed MMP referendum, and social media policy, yet its support has proven resilient in the high 20s to low 30s. Labour has gained modestly but failed to convert government vulnerabilities into decisive leads. Minor parties such as NZ First, the Greens, and the Opportunity Party trail well behind in aggregated projections, leaving the outcome between the two largest parties highly sensitive to turnout and late shifts in voter preference.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$18,387Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).National and Labour remain locked in a tight contest for second place under New Zealand’s MMP system ahead of the 7 November 2026 election, with recent polls showing Labour ahead by narrow margins in some surveys and National leading or tied in others. Incumbent National has faced internal leadership pressure and coalition tensions over taxes, a proposed MMP referendum, and social media policy, yet its support has proven resilient in the high 20s to low 30s. Labour has gained modestly but failed to convert government vulnerabilities into decisive leads. Minor parties such as NZ First, the Greens, and the Opportunity Party trail well behind in aggregated projections, leaving the outcome between the two largest parties highly sensitive to turnout and late shifts in voter preference.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Обсяг
$18,387Дата завершення
Nov 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...National and Labour remain locked in a tight contest for second place under New Zealand’s MMP system ahead of the 7 November 2026 election, with recent polls showing Labour ahead by narrow margins in some surveys and National leading or tied in others. Incumbent National has faced internal leadership pressure and coalition tensions over taxes, a proposed MMP referendum, and social media policy, yet its support has proven resilient in the high 20s to low 30s. Labour has gained modestly but failed to convert government vulnerabilities into decisive leads. Minor parties such as NZ First, the Greens, and the Opportunity Party trail well behind in aggregated projections, leaving the outcome between the two largest parties highly sensitive to turnout and late shifts in voter preference.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПов'язане
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
62%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
56%
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
57%
Labour
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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