Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government secured a parliamentary majority in April 2026 through by-election gains and floor crossings, removing immediate pressure from opposition parties or confidence votes. Recent August 2026 by-elections in Ontario, Quebec, and British Columbia reinforced this position, with Liberals holding or gaining seats amid stable national polling that shows a double-digit lead. The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date election for October 15, 2029, and no supply bill defeats, no-confidence motions, or public signals of a snap election have emerged. With the majority intact and no scheduled procedural deadlines before mid-2026, trader consensus assigns very low probability to another federal election being called by June 30, 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$94,880 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
6%
$94,880 KL.
December 31, 2026
$3,222 KL.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government secured a parliamentary majority in April 2026 through by-election gains and floor crossings, removing immediate pressure from opposition parties or confidence votes. Recent August 2026 by-elections in Ontario, Quebec, and British Columbia reinforced this position, with Liberals holding or gaining seats amid stable national polling that shows a double-digit lead. The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date election for October 15, 2029, and no supply bill defeats, no-confidence motions, or public signals of a snap election have emerged. With the majority intact and no scheduled procedural deadlines before mid-2026, trader consensus assigns very low probability to another federal election being called by June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$94,880Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government secured a parliamentary majority in April 2026 through by-election gains and floor crossings, removing immediate pressure from opposition parties or confidence votes. Recent August 2026 by-elections in Ontario, Quebec, and British Columbia reinforced this position, with Liberals holding or gaining seats amid stable national polling that shows a double-digit lead. The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date election for October 15, 2029, and no supply bill defeats, no-confidence motions, or public signals of a snap election have emerged. With the majority intact and no scheduled procedural deadlines before mid-2026, trader consensus assigns very low probability to another federal election being called by June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes").
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$94,880Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 28, 2026, 4:38 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberal government secured a parliamentary majority in April 2026 through by-election gains and floor crossings, removing immediate pressure from opposition parties or confidence votes. Recent August 2026 by-elections in Ontario, Quebec, and British Columbia reinforced this position, with Liberals holding or gaining seats amid stable national polling that shows a double-digit lead. The Canada Elections Act sets the next fixed-date election for October 15, 2029, and no supply bill defeats, no-confidence motions, or public signals of a snap election have emerged. With the majority intact and no scheduled procedural deadlines before mid-2026, trader consensus assigns very low probability to another federal election being called by June 30, 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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