The Federal Reserve's unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75%-4.00% target range, its first hike since 2023, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for at least one more increase this year. Updated Summary of Economic Projections showed 16 of 18 participants expecting an additional hike by year-end, with the median 2026 rate path revised higher to 4.1%, driven by sticky inflation now projected at 3.7% headline PCE and resilient domestic spending amid tariffs, energy shocks, and strong productivity. New Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized policy credibility, while labor market stability and above-target price pressures reinforced the hawkish tilt. Traders are pricing in a high likelihood of further tightening before December, though outcomes remain sensitive to incoming data on inflation and growth.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật81% khả năng
MỚI
$18,573 KL.
MỚI
$18,573 KL.
Dec 8, 2026
81% khả năng
MỚI
$18,573 KL.
MỚI
$18,573 KL.
Dec 8, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve's unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75%-4.00% target range, its first hike since 2023, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for at least one more increase this year. Updated Summary of Economic Projections showed 16 of 18 participants expecting an additional hike by year-end, with the median 2026 rate path revised higher to 4.1%, driven by sticky inflation now projected at 3.7% headline PCE and resilient domestic spending amid tariffs, energy shocks, and strong productivity. New Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized policy credibility, while labor market stability and above-target price pressures reinforced the hawkish tilt. Traders are pricing in a high likelihood of further tightening before December, though outcomes remain sensitive to incoming data on inflation and growth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$18,573Ngày kết thúc
Dec 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve's unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75%-4.00% target range, its first hike since 2023, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for at least one more increase this year. Updated Summary of Economic Projections showed 16 of 18 participants expecting an additional hike by year-end, with the median 2026 rate path revised higher to 4.1%, driven by sticky inflation now projected at 3.7% headline PCE and resilient domestic spending amid tariffs, energy shocks, and strong productivity. New Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized policy credibility, while labor market stability and above-target price pressures reinforced the hawkish tilt. Traders are pricing in a high likelihood of further tightening before December, though outcomes remain sensitive to incoming data on inflation and growth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$18,573Ngày kết thúc
Dec 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve's unanimous September 16, 2026, decision to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a 3.75%-4.00% target range, its first hike since 2023, underpins the elevated market-implied odds for at least one more increase this year. Updated Summary of Economic Projections showed 16 of 18 participants expecting an additional hike by year-end, with the median 2026 rate path revised higher to 4.1%, driven by sticky inflation now projected at 3.7% headline PCE and resilient domestic spending amid tariffs, energy shocks, and strong productivity. New Chair Kevin Warsh emphasized policy credibility, while labor market stability and above-target price pressures reinforced the hawkish tilt. Traders are pricing in a high likelihood of further tightening before December, though outcomes remain sensitive to incoming data on inflation and growth.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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