Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption purges within the People’s Liberation Army have removed dozens of senior officers, including the August 2026 dismissals of Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli after January investigations, further centralizing authority and reducing opportunities for coordinated challenges ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Persistent early-2026 rumors of plots or elite fractures have produced no verified coup attempts or visible dissent in credible reporting, reinforcing trader consensus that institutional controls and party discipline make such an event improbable through December 2026. Remote variables that could still shift outcomes include sudden leadership health developments or unexpected realignments among remaining elites.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChina coup attempt before 2027?
China coup attempt before 2027?
4% khả năng
$155,209 KL.
$155,209 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
4% khả năng
$155,209 KL.
$155,209 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption purges within the People’s Liberation Army have removed dozens of senior officers, including the August 2026 dismissals of Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli after January investigations, further centralizing authority and reducing opportunities for coordinated challenges ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Persistent early-2026 rumors of plots or elite fractures have produced no verified coup attempts or visible dissent in credible reporting, reinforcing trader consensus that institutional controls and party discipline make such an event improbable through December 2026. Remote variables that could still shift outcomes include sudden leadership health developments or unexpected realignments among remaining elites.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$155,209Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption purges within the People’s Liberation Army have removed dozens of senior officers, including the August 2026 dismissals of Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli after January investigations, further centralizing authority and reducing opportunities for coordinated challenges ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Persistent early-2026 rumors of plots or elite fractures have produced no verified coup attempts or visible dissent in credible reporting, reinforcing trader consensus that institutional controls and party discipline make such an event improbable through December 2026. Remote variables that could still shift outcomes include sudden leadership health developments or unexpected realignments among remaining elites.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$155,209Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption purges within the People’s Liberation Army have removed dozens of senior officers, including the August 2026 dismissals of Central Military Commission figures Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli after January investigations, further centralizing authority and reducing opportunities for coordinated challenges ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Persistent early-2026 rumors of plots or elite fractures have produced no verified coup attempts or visible dissent in credible reporting, reinforcing trader consensus that institutional controls and party discipline make such an event improbable through December 2026. Remote variables that could still shift outcomes include sudden leadership health developments or unexpected realignments among remaining elites.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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