The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates steady at its March 19, 2026 meeting, including the deposit facility at 2%, while raising its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing persistent pressures from surging energy prices amid Iran-related geopolitical tensions. Market-based inflation expectations now average 2.9% for the year, well above the 2% target, prompting economists and institutions like the IMF to anticipate holds or even 50 basis points of hikes through 2026. Traders' 77% consensus against a rate cut reflects this hawkish shift from earlier cut expectations, reinforced by recent policymaker comments downplaying near-term easing ahead of the April 30 decision, underscoring data-dependent vigilance on sticky inflation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$25,095 KL.
$25,095 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$25,095 KL.
$25,095 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates steady at its March 19, 2026 meeting, including the deposit facility at 2%, while raising its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing persistent pressures from surging energy prices amid Iran-related geopolitical tensions. Market-based inflation expectations now average 2.9% for the year, well above the 2% target, prompting economists and institutions like the IMF to anticipate holds or even 50 basis points of hikes through 2026. Traders' 77% consensus against a rate cut reflects this hawkish shift from earlier cut expectations, reinforced by recent policymaker comments downplaying near-term easing ahead of the April 30 decision, underscoring data-dependent vigilance on sticky inflation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$25,095Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates steady at its March 19, 2026 meeting, including the deposit facility at 2%, while raising its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing persistent pressures from surging energy prices amid Iran-related geopolitical tensions. Market-based inflation expectations now average 2.9% for the year, well above the 2% target, prompting economists and institutions like the IMF to anticipate holds or even 50 basis points of hikes through 2026. Traders' 77% consensus against a rate cut reflects this hawkish shift from earlier cut expectations, reinforced by recent policymaker comments downplaying near-term easing ahead of the April 30 decision, underscoring data-dependent vigilance on sticky inflation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$25,095Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates steady at its March 19, 2026 meeting, including the deposit facility at 2%, while raising its 2026 inflation forecast to 2.6% from 1.9%, citing persistent pressures from surging energy prices amid Iran-related geopolitical tensions. Market-based inflation expectations now average 2.9% for the year, well above the 2% target, prompting economists and institutions like the IMF to anticipate holds or even 50 basis points of hikes through 2026. Traders' 77% consensus against a rate cut reflects this hawkish shift from earlier cut expectations, reinforced by recent policymaker comments downplaying near-term easing ahead of the April 30 decision, underscoring data-dependent vigilance on sticky inflation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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