Forecast models from multiple sources consistently project daytime maximum temperatures of 34–35°C in Jinan on August 23, driven by typical late-summer high-pressure conditions, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that support strong solar heating. This aligns with historical August averages near 31°C and recent observed highs in the mid-30s°C. Market-implied odds above 95% for 26°C or higher reflect traders’ assessment of low uncertainty in the consensus guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window. A realistic challenge would require a major forecast shift, such as unexpected widespread convection or thicker cloud decks reducing insolation, though current model agreement makes this improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 23?
26°C or higher 96%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
16°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C or higher
96%
26°C or higher 96%
24°C 3%
25°C 3%
16°C or below <1%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
$79 KL.
1%
17°C
$79 KL.
1%
18°C
$79 KL.
1%
19°C
$79 KL.
1%
20°C
$79 KL.
1%
21°C
$79 KL.
1%
22°C
$79 KL.
1%
23°C
$79 KL.
1%
24°C
$5 KL.
3%
25°C
$5 KL.
3%
26°C or higher
$346 KL.
96%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources consistently project daytime maximum temperatures of 34–35°C in Jinan on August 23, driven by typical late-summer high-pressure conditions, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that support strong solar heating. This aligns with historical August averages near 31°C and recent observed highs in the mid-30s°C. Market-implied odds above 95% for 26°C or higher reflect traders’ assessment of low uncertainty in the consensus guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window. A realistic challenge would require a major forecast shift, such as unexpected widespread convection or thicker cloud decks reducing insolation, though current model agreement makes this improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$989Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from multiple sources consistently project daytime maximum temperatures of 34–35°C in Jinan on August 23, driven by typical late-summer high-pressure conditions, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that support strong solar heating. This aligns with historical August averages near 31°C and recent observed highs in the mid-30s°C. Market-implied odds above 95% for 26°C or higher reflect traders’ assessment of low uncertainty in the consensus guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window. A realistic challenge would require a major forecast shift, such as unexpected widespread convection or thicker cloud decks reducing insolation, though current model agreement makes this improbable.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$989Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from multiple sources consistently project daytime maximum temperatures of 34–35°C in Jinan on August 23, driven by typical late-summer high-pressure conditions, light easterly winds, and limited cloud cover that support strong solar heating. This aligns with historical August averages near 31°C and recent observed highs in the mid-30s°C. Market-implied odds above 95% for 26°C or higher reflect traders’ assessment of low uncertainty in the consensus guidance ahead of the 24-hour verification window. A realistic challenge would require a major forecast shift, such as unexpected widespread convection or thicker cloud decks reducing insolation, though current model agreement makes this improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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