Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate Jinan highs of 29–33°C on September 17, driven by continued warm advection from southerly flows and limited cloud cover under stable late-summer conditions. Current observations on September 16 show peaks near 32–34°C, with only modest cooling expected overnight and into the following day. This places the market’s 83.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher in line with model consensus and historical September baselines for the region. Minor regional cloud increases noted in Shandong updates introduce limited downside risk, yet no significant frontal passage or precipitation is projected to suppress maximum temperatures below the leading threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jinan on September 17?
26°C or higher 99%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
84%
26°C or higher 99%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models indicate Jinan highs of 29–33°C on September 17, driven by continued warm advection from southerly flows and limited cloud cover under stable late-summer conditions. Current observations on September 16 show peaks near 32–34°C, with only modest cooling expected overnight and into the following day. This places the market’s 83.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher in line with model consensus and historical September baselines for the region. Minor regional cloud increases noted in Shandong updates introduce limited downside risk, yet no significant frontal passage or precipitation is projected to suppress maximum temperatures below the leading threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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