Recent forecast guidance from sources like WeatherBug and regional Chinese meteorological models points to a highest temperature near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 24, amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds, and a moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 31–33°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty at this short lead time, where small shifts in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, or regional pressure patterns could push maxima higher than the current consensus. Historical August averages near 29°C provide baseline context, while ongoing convective activity from the prior days adds variability to temperature profiles. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
32°C 31%
31°C 22%
33°C 18%
30°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
13%
31°C
22%
32°C
31%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
11%
32°C 31%
31°C 22%
33°C 18%
30°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
13%
31°C
22%
32°C
31%
33°C
18%
34°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from sources like WeatherBug and regional Chinese meteorological models points to a highest temperature near 29–30°C in Qingdao on August 24, amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds, and a moderate chance of showers or thunderstorms that could limit daytime heating. Trader consensus favoring 31–33°C outcomes reflects model uncertainty at this short lead time, where small shifts in cloud cover, timing of precipitation, or regional pressure patterns could push maxima higher than the current consensus. Historical August averages near 29°C provide baseline context, while ongoing convective activity from the prior days adds variability to temperature profiles. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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