Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a warming trend for São Paulo on August 13, with daytime maxima projected in the upper 20s to low 30s °C under broken cloud cover and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooler air mass and frontal passage earlier in the week that suppressed highs to around 18–23 °C. Subtropical ridging and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance solar insolation and warm advection, pushing temperatures above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Model outputs show a tight cluster around 28–31 °C, with limited upside risk from stronger heating or downside from lingering moisture. Traders have priced the 29–31 °C outcomes highest because these align with the current consensus range from operational forecasts, while extremes remain low-probability given the moderate setup and typical winter boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on the 12th–13th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 13?
29°C 42%
30°C 27%
31°C 18%
28°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
8%
29°C
42%
30°C
27%
31°C
18%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 42%
30°C 27%
31°C 18%
28°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
$37 KL.
<1%
25°C
$33 KL.
1%
26°C
$29 KL.
1%
27°C
$23 KL.
5%
28°C
$168 KL.
8%
29°C
$238 KL.
42%
30°C
$120 KL.
27%
31°C
$83 KL.
18%
32°C
$25 KL.
2%
33°C
$2 KL.
3%
34°C or higher
$66 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a warming trend for São Paulo on August 13, with daytime maxima projected in the upper 20s to low 30s °C under broken cloud cover and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooler air mass and frontal passage earlier in the week that suppressed highs to around 18–23 °C. Subtropical ridging and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance solar insolation and warm advection, pushing temperatures above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Model outputs show a tight cluster around 28–31 °C, with limited upside risk from stronger heating or downside from lingering moisture. Traders have priced the 29–31 °C outcomes highest because these align with the current consensus range from operational forecasts, while extremes remain low-probability given the moderate setup and typical winter boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on the 12th–13th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$825Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a warming trend for São Paulo on August 13, with daytime maxima projected in the upper 20s to low 30s °C under broken cloud cover and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooler air mass and frontal passage earlier in the week that suppressed highs to around 18–23 °C. Subtropical ridging and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance solar insolation and warm advection, pushing temperatures above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Model outputs show a tight cluster around 28–31 °C, with limited upside risk from stronger heating or downside from lingering moisture. Traders have priced the 29–31 °C outcomes highest because these align with the current consensus range from operational forecasts, while extremes remain low-probability given the moderate setup and typical winter boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on the 12th–13th will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$825Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to a warming trend for São Paulo on August 13, with daytime maxima projected in the upper 20s to low 30s °C under broken cloud cover and minimal precipitation. This follows a cooler air mass and frontal passage earlier in the week that suppressed highs to around 18–23 °C. Subtropical ridging and reduced cloud cover are expected to enhance solar insolation and warm advection, pushing temperatures above the August climatological average of 23–25 °C. Model outputs show a tight cluster around 28–31 °C, with limited upside risk from stronger heating or downside from lingering moisture. Traders have priced the 29–31 °C outcomes highest because these align with the current consensus range from operational forecasts, while extremes remain low-probability given the moderate setup and typical winter boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official agency guidance on the 12th–13th will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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