Christina Bohannan's commanding 94% implied probability in the IA-01 Democratic primary reflects her overwhelming advantages as the prior nominee in 2022 and 2024, where she captured over 99% in each primary while mounting narrow general election challenges to Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks. Recent Q1 FEC filings underscore her financial dominance, with $4 million cash-on-hand compared to Travis Terrell's $5,000, enabling superior advertising and ground operations ahead of the June 2 primary. Taylor Wettach's January withdrawal further consolidated support behind Bohannan, leaving Terrell—a grassroots working-class challenger—with minimal resources despite niche endorsements like AIPAC Tracker. Upsets would require a Bohannan scandal, Terrell fundraising surge, or progressive turnout shift, though structural barriers remain high given trader consensus on her battle-tested status.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
IA-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Christina Bohannan 94.0%
Travis Terrell 2.5%
Taylor Wettach 1.5%
$14,908 KL.
$14,908 KL.
Christina Bohannan
94%
Travis Terrell
2%
Taylor Wettach
2%
Christina Bohannan 94.0%
Travis Terrell 2.5%
Taylor Wettach 1.5%
$14,908 KL.
$14,908 KL.
Christina Bohannan
94%
Travis Terrell
2%
Taylor Wettach
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 25, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Christina Bohannan's commanding 94% implied probability in the IA-01 Democratic primary reflects her overwhelming advantages as the prior nominee in 2022 and 2024, where she captured over 99% in each primary while mounting narrow general election challenges to Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks. Recent Q1 FEC filings underscore her financial dominance, with $4 million cash-on-hand compared to Travis Terrell's $5,000, enabling superior advertising and ground operations ahead of the June 2 primary. Taylor Wettach's January withdrawal further consolidated support behind Bohannan, leaving Terrell—a grassroots working-class challenger—with minimal resources despite niche endorsements like AIPAC Tracker. Upsets would require a Bohannan scandal, Terrell fundraising surge, or progressive turnout shift, though structural barriers remain high given trader consensus on her battle-tested status.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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