Recent June CPI data, showing a sharp -0.4% month-over-month decline driven by a 5.7% drop in energy prices following geopolitical easing, has shaped expectations for July. Traders now price a 64.5% chance of ≥0.1% MoM headline inflation and 32% for exactly flat, reflecting anticipated rebounds in gasoline and shelter costs alongside steadier core measures near 0.2%. This positioning aligns with analyst consensus forecasts around 0.0% and contrasts with the prior month's outsized energy-led decline. The August 12 release remains the key catalyst, with labor market and PPI prints providing additional context on whether the disinflation trend persists into the third quarter.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật≥0.1% 66%
0.0% 32%
-0.1% 2.9%
≤-0.7% 1.0%
$117,122 KL.
$117,122 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
≤-0.7%
1%
-0.6%
<1%
-0.5%
<1%
-0.4%
<1%
-0.3%
<1%
-0.2%
<1%
-0.1%
3%
0.0%
32%
≥0.1%
66%
≥0.1% 66%
0.0% 32%
-0.1% 2.9%
≤-0.7% 1.0%
$117,122 KL.
$117,122 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
≤-0.7%
$7,271 KL.
1%
-0.6%
$4,307 KL.
<1%
-0.5%
$4,025 KL.
<1%
-0.4%
$3,939 KL.
<1%
-0.3%
$4,193 KL.
<1%
-0.2%
$4,463 KL.
<1%
-0.1%
$9,081 KL.
3%
0.0%
$25,056 KL.
32%
≥0.1%
$54,788 KL.
66%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data, showing a sharp -0.4% month-over-month decline driven by a 5.7% drop in energy prices following geopolitical easing, has shaped expectations for July. Traders now price a 64.5% chance of ≥0.1% MoM headline inflation and 32% for exactly flat, reflecting anticipated rebounds in gasoline and shelter costs alongside steadier core measures near 0.2%. This positioning aligns with analyst consensus forecasts around 0.0% and contrasts with the prior month's outsized energy-led decline. The August 12 release remains the key catalyst, with labor market and PPI prints providing additional context on whether the disinflation trend persists into the third quarter.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$117,122Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June CPI data, showing a sharp -0.4% month-over-month decline driven by a 5.7% drop in energy prices following geopolitical easing, has shaped expectations for July. Traders now price a 64.5% chance of ≥0.1% MoM headline inflation and 32% for exactly flat, reflecting anticipated rebounds in gasoline and shelter costs alongside steadier core measures near 0.2%. This positioning aligns with analyst consensus forecasts around 0.0% and contrasts with the prior month's outsized energy-led decline. The August 12 release remains the key catalyst, with labor market and PPI prints providing additional context on whether the disinflation trend persists into the third quarter.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$117,122Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 14, 2026, 1:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June CPI data, showing a sharp -0.4% month-over-month decline driven by a 5.7% drop in energy prices following geopolitical easing, has shaped expectations for July. Traders now price a 64.5% chance of ≥0.1% MoM headline inflation and 32% for exactly flat, reflecting anticipated rebounds in gasoline and shelter costs alongside steadier core measures near 0.2%. This positioning aligns with analyst consensus forecasts around 0.0% and contrasts with the prior month's outsized energy-led decline. The August 12 release remains the key catalyst, with labor market and PPI prints providing additional context on whether the disinflation trend persists into the third quarter.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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