**Market-implied odds strongly favor an 18°C minimum in Busan on September 12, 2026, driven by consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance projecting overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds.** Recent observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration show daytime highs near 28°C with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, supporting efficient nighttime temperature drops to around this threshold amid stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where September minima typically range 17–20°C. The market’s tight clustering reflects trader confidence in these forecasts, though shifts in cloud cover, increased humidity, or stronger winds could raise the minimum above 18°C before official daily verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Busan on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Busan on September 12?
18°C 98%
15°C or below 4%
16°C 4%
17°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
98%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
18°C 98%
15°C or below 4%
16°C 4%
17°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
15°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
16°C
$40 KL.
4%
17°C
$0 KL.
4%
18°C
$62 KL.
98%
19°C
$126 KL.
<1%
20°C
$85 KL.
<1%
21°C
$15 KL.
<1%
22°C
$0 KL.
<1%
23°C
$15 KL.
<1%
24°C
$0 KL.
<1%
25°C or higher
$0 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor an 18°C minimum in Busan on September 12, 2026, driven by consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance projecting overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds.** Recent observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration show daytime highs near 28°C with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, supporting efficient nighttime temperature drops to around this threshold amid stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where September minima typically range 17–20°C. The market’s tight clustering reflects trader confidence in these forecasts, though shifts in cloud cover, increased humidity, or stronger winds could raise the minimum above 18°C before official daily verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$343Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds strongly favor an 18°C minimum in Busan on September 12, 2026, driven by consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance projecting overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds.** Recent observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration show daytime highs near 28°C with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, supporting efficient nighttime temperature drops to around this threshold amid stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where September minima typically range 17–20°C. The market’s tight clustering reflects trader confidence in these forecasts, though shifts in cloud cover, increased humidity, or stronger winds could raise the minimum above 18°C before official daily verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$343Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds strongly favor an 18°C minimum in Busan on September 12, 2026, driven by consensus from numerical weather models and official guidance projecting overnight radiative cooling under clear skies and light easterly winds.** Recent observations from the Korea Meteorological Administration show daytime highs near 28°C with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius, supporting efficient nighttime temperature drops to around this threshold amid stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-September in the region, where September minima typically range 17–20°C. The market’s tight clustering reflects trader confidence in these forecasts, though shifts in cloud cover, increased humidity, or stronger winds could raise the minimum above 18°C before official daily verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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