Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, point to overnight lows in Munich on August 29 clustering near 12–15 °C as a cooler, moister air mass arrives from the southwest. Persistent cloud cover and light-to-moderate winds after daytime showers on the 28th will limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures above the long-term August average of roughly 12.7 °C. Clearer breaks later in the night could allow brief dips toward 12 °C, while lingering low-level moisture or residual cloud may hold readings near 15 °C. Market probabilities remain tightly bunched because small shifts in forecast cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing—common at this lead time—can easily move the realized minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and local observations through August 28 will provide the next key signals for traders.