Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain from a moist monsoon air mass are anchoring overnight lows in Shenzhen near 25–27°C for August 24, producing the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. High dew points near 25–26°C limit evaporative cooling, while thick stratiform clouds suppress nocturnal radiative heat loss; southerly flow off the warm South China Sea further moderates temperatures. Multiple model runs show only modest variation in timing and intensity of showers, leaving little room for extremes below 23°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any clearing window develops before dawn on the 24th.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
23°C 81%
27°C 47%
26°C 46%
25°C 44%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
81%
24°C
12%
25°C
44%
26°C
46%
27°C
47%
28°C
22%
29°C
11%
30°C
24%
31°C or higher
5%
23°C 81%
27°C 47%
26°C 46%
25°C 44%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
81%
24°C
12%
25°C
44%
26°C
46%
27°C
47%
28°C
22%
29°C
11%
30°C
24%
31°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain from a moist monsoon air mass are anchoring overnight lows in Shenzhen near 25–27°C for August 24, producing the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. High dew points near 25–26°C limit evaporative cooling, while thick stratiform clouds suppress nocturnal radiative heat loss; southerly flow off the warm South China Sea further moderates temperatures. Multiple model runs show only modest variation in timing and intensity of showers, leaving little room for extremes below 23°C or above 29°C. Updated guidance from regional meteorological centers over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether any clearing window develops before dawn on the 24th.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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