Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show high uncertainty for Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 1, with overnight lows potentially holding near 15–17°C under cloudy, breezy conditions or dropping toward 12°C or below if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling amid scattered showers. This spread, driven by variable Atlantic air advection and precipitation chances around 30–50%, underpins the near-even market odds between a 22°C-or-higher minimum and one at or below 12°C. Historical early-September baselines around 13–16°C lows provide context, while upcoming model runs and official IMGW guidance on September 1 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 1?
22°C or higher 92%
12°C or below 87%
17°C 49%
14°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
12°C or below
87%
13°C
20%
14°C
39%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
49%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
92%
22°C or higher 92%
12°C or below 87%
17°C 49%
14°C 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
12°C or below
$0 KL.
87%
13°C
$0 KL.
20%
14°C
$0 KL.
39%
15°C
$0 KL.
26%
16°C
$0 KL.
27%
17°C
$0 KL.
49%
18°C
$0 KL.
2%
19°C
$0 KL.
8%
20°C
$0 KL.
8%
21°C
$0 KL.
8%
22°C or higher
$0 KL.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show high uncertainty for Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 1, with overnight lows potentially holding near 15–17°C under cloudy, breezy conditions or dropping toward 12°C or below if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling amid scattered showers. This spread, driven by variable Atlantic air advection and precipitation chances around 30–50%, underpins the near-even market odds between a 22°C-or-higher minimum and one at or below 12°C. Historical early-September baselines around 13–16°C lows provide context, while upcoming model runs and official IMGW guidance on September 1 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show high uncertainty for Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 1, with overnight lows potentially holding near 15–17°C under cloudy, breezy conditions or dropping toward 12°C or below if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling amid scattered showers. This spread, driven by variable Atlantic air advection and precipitation chances around 30–50%, underpins the near-even market odds between a 22°C-or-higher minimum and one at or below 12°C. Historical early-September baselines around 13–16°C lows provide context, while upcoming model runs and official IMGW guidance on September 1 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models show high uncertainty for Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 1, with overnight lows potentially holding near 15–17°C under cloudy, breezy conditions or dropping toward 12°C or below if clearer skies enhance radiative cooling amid scattered showers. This spread, driven by variable Atlantic air advection and precipitation chances around 30–50%, underpins the near-even market odds between a 22°C-or-higher minimum and one at or below 12°C. Historical early-September baselines around 13–16°C lows provide context, while upcoming model runs and official IMGW guidance on September 1 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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