Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 1st Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in Bonamici's 68.6% victory in 2024 and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, underpins the 96% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Limited recent developments, including no significant polling shifts or candidate controversies since primaries, reinforce this positioning through the general election cycle. A narrow Republican upset would require an unusually strong national partisan wave or unforeseen events affecting turnout in the Portland-area suburbs and coastal counties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
$27,452 KL.
$27,452 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$27,452 KL.
$27,452 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,566 KL.
96%
Republican Party
$16,887 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 1st Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in Bonamici's 68.6% victory in 2024 and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, underpins the 96% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Limited recent developments, including no significant polling shifts or candidate controversies since primaries, reinforce this positioning through the general election cycle. A narrow Republican upset would require an unusually strong national partisan wave or unforeseen events affecting turnout in the Portland-area suburbs and coastal counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$27,452Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 1st Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in Bonamici's 68.6% victory in 2024 and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, underpins the 96% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Limited recent developments, including no significant polling shifts or candidate controversies since primaries, reinforce this positioning through the general election cycle. A narrow Republican upset would require an unusually strong national partisan wave or unforeseen events affecting turnout in the Portland-area suburbs and coastal counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$27,452Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with 86.6% in the May 2026 primary for Oregon's 1st Congressional District, facing Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic tilt, reflected in Bonamici's 68.6% victory in 2024 and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, underpins the 96% trader consensus for a Democratic win. Limited recent developments, including no significant polling shifts or candidate controversies since primaries, reinforce this positioning through the general election cycle. A narrow Republican upset would require an unusually strong national partisan wave or unforeseen events affecting turnout in the Portland-area suburbs and coastal counties.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp