Incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's bid for reelection in Oregon's 1st Congressional District drives the commanding 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory, anchored by the district's D+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic across forecasters. Recent FEC filings through March 31 show Bonamici with $527,000 cash on hand versus negligible sums for Democratic primary challenger Jamil Ahmad and unproven Republican primary contenders Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek, ahead of the May 19 primaries. Bonamici's history of 64-69% general election margins and 83-91% primary wins reinforces this positioning. Late-breaking scandals, a high-profile GOP recruit, or extreme national midterm swings could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$817 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$0 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's bid for reelection in Oregon's 1st Congressional District drives the commanding 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory, anchored by the district's D+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic across forecasters. Recent FEC filings through March 31 show Bonamici with $527,000 cash on hand versus negligible sums for Democratic primary challenger Jamil Ahmad and unproven Republican primary contenders Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek, ahead of the May 19 primaries. Bonamici's history of 64-69% general election margins and 83-91% primary wins reinforces this positioning. Late-breaking scandals, a high-profile GOP recruit, or extreme national midterm swings could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$817Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's bid for reelection in Oregon's 1st Congressional District drives the commanding 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory, anchored by the district's D+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic across forecasters. Recent FEC filings through March 31 show Bonamici with $527,000 cash on hand versus negligible sums for Democratic primary challenger Jamil Ahmad and unproven Republican primary contenders Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek, ahead of the May 19 primaries. Bonamici's history of 64-69% general election margins and 83-91% primary wins reinforces this positioning. Late-breaking scandals, a high-profile GOP recruit, or extreme national midterm swings could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$817Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Suzanne Bonamici's bid for reelection in Oregon's 1st Congressional District drives the commanding 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory, anchored by the district's D+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic across forecasters. Recent FEC filings through March 31 show Bonamici with $527,000 cash on hand versus negligible sums for Democratic primary challenger Jamil Ahmad and unproven Republican primary contenders Barbara Kahl and John Verbeek, ahead of the May 19 primaries. Bonamici's history of 64-69% general election margins and 83-91% primary wins reinforces this positioning. Late-breaking scandals, a high-profile GOP recruit, or extreme national midterm swings could challenge the outcome, though structural advantages make shifts unlikely.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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