Incumbent Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections under proportional representation, reflecting recent polls like EVN Report's April 6 survey showing persistent voter support amid undecideds swinging toward the ruling party. Opposition fragmentation—21 parties and alliances registered since April 13, with a 5% threshold for parties and 7% for blocs—dilutes anti-incumbent votes, boosting Civil Contract's path to a potential constitutional majority. Fresh developments include Civil Contract's candidate list submission on April 15 and detentions of pro-Russian opposition figures on April 16, amid recast foreign policy emphasizing Western ties. Late scandals or consolidated opposition could shift odds before registration closes April 23.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於公民契約黨 91%
亞美尼亞聯盟 6%
民族遺產黨 1.9%
亞美尼亞國民大會 1.7%
$104,391 交易量
$104,391 交易量
2026-06-07
公民契約黨
91%
亞美尼亞聯盟
6%
民族遺產黨
2%
亞美尼亞國民大會
2%
繁榮亞美尼亞
2%
Hanrapetutyun黨
1%
奧瑞納茨·葉爾基爾
1%
我有榮譽聯盟
<1%
光明亞美尼亞
<1%
公民契約黨 91%
亞美尼亞聯盟 6%
民族遺產黨 1.9%
亞美尼亞國民大會 1.7%
$104,391 交易量
$104,391 交易量
2026-06-07
公民契約黨
$41,627 交易量
91%
亞美尼亞聯盟
$49,743 交易量
6%
民族遺產黨
$1,865 交易量
2%
亞美尼亞國民大會
$2,110 交易量
2%
繁榮亞美尼亞
$1,658 交易量
2%
Hanrapetutyun黨
$1,588 交易量
1%
奧瑞納茨·葉爾基爾
$1,910 交易量
1%
我有榮譽聯盟
$1,509 交易量
<1%
光明亞美尼亞
$2,381 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Incumbent Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections under proportional representation, reflecting recent polls like EVN Report's April 6 survey showing persistent voter support amid undecideds swinging toward the ruling party. Opposition fragmentation—21 parties and alliances registered since April 13, with a 5% threshold for parties and 7% for blocs—dilutes anti-incumbent votes, boosting Civil Contract's path to a potential constitutional majority. Fresh developments include Civil Contract's candidate list submission on April 15 and detentions of pro-Russian opposition figures on April 16, amid recast foreign policy emphasizing Western ties. Late scandals or consolidated opposition could shift odds before registration closes April 23.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
市場開放時間： Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ET
交易量
$104,391結束日期
2026-06-07市場開放時間
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).Incumbent Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections under proportional representation, reflecting recent polls like EVN Report's April 6 survey showing persistent voter support amid undecideds swinging toward the ruling party. Opposition fragmentation—21 parties and alliances registered since April 13, with a 5% threshold for parties and 7% for blocs—dilutes anti-incumbent votes, boosting Civil Contract's path to a potential constitutional majority. Fresh developments include Civil Contract's candidate list submission on April 15 and detentions of pro-Russian opposition figures on April 16, amid recast foreign policy emphasizing Western ties. Late scandals or consolidated opposition could shift odds before registration closes April 23.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Armenia on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Armenian National Assembly in this election.
If voting in the Armenian parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Armenian National Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Armenian government, specifically the Armenian Central Election Commission (https://www.elections.am/).
交易量
$104,391結束日期
2026-06-07市場開放時間
Dec 15, 2025, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Civil Contract party, led by Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, dominates trader consensus at 90% implied probability to win the most seats in Armenia's June 7, 2026, parliamentary elections under proportional representation, reflecting recent polls like EVN Report's April 6 survey showing persistent voter support amid undecideds swinging toward the ruling party. Opposition fragmentation—21 parties and alliances registered since April 13, with a 5% threshold for parties and 7% for blocs—dilutes anti-incumbent votes, boosting Civil Contract's path to a potential constitutional majority. Fresh developments include Civil Contract's candidate list submission on April 15 and detentions of pro-Russian opposition figures on April 16, amid recast foreign policy emphasizing Western ties. Late scandals or consolidated opposition could shift odds before registration closes April 23.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
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