Trader consensus heavily favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) as the winner of Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly, reflecting consistent pre-election opinion polls projecting a landslide for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), with surveys like Matrize-IANS forecasting 96-98 seats for BJP alone and News18-Vote Vibe estimating 80-90 for NDA allies including AGP and BPF. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong approval, driven by development initiatives and migration controls, has solidified support among upper Assam Hindus, tea tribes, and OBC voters, while opposition Congress-led alliances struggle with vote splits from AIUDF and others. Voting concluded on April 9 with record 85% turnout; results due May 4. Upsets could arise from counting discrepancies or regional opposition surges in Lower Assam and Barak Valley, though historical polling accuracy tempers such risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於印度人民黨（BJP） 96.5%
印度國民大會黨（INC） 3.0%
全印度草根大眾會 (AITC) <1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%
$60,364 交易量
$60,364 交易量
2026-05-20
印度人民黨（BJP）
97%
印度國民大會黨（INC）
3%
全印度草根大眾會 (AITC)
<1%
![印度共產黨（馬克思主義） [CPI(M)] 會在2026年阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com%2Fwill-the-communist-party-of-india-marxist-cpim-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2026-west-bengal-legislative-assembly-election-nxM4PHpATBXW.png&w=1024&q=75)
印度共產黨（馬克思主義）
<1%
全國國民大會黨（NCP）
<1%
全印度聯合民主陣線（AIUDF）
<1%
博多蘭人民陣線（BPF）
<1%
印度共產黨（CPI）
<1%
NPEP
<1%
阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP）
<1%
印度人民黨（BJP） 96.5%
印度國民大會黨（INC） 3.0%
全印度草根大眾會 (AITC) <1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%
$60,364 交易量
$60,364 交易量
2026-05-20
印度人民黨（BJP）
$11,682 交易量
97%
印度國民大會黨（INC）
$7,393 交易量
3%
全印度草根大眾會 (AITC)
$4,503 交易量
<1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義）
$4,830 交易量
<1%
全國國民大會黨（NCP）
$4,181 交易量
<1%
全印度聯合民主陣線（AIUDF）
$4,917 交易量
<1%
博多蘭人民陣線（BPF）
$4,458 交易量
<1%
印度共產黨（CPI）
$8,605 交易量
<1%
NPEP
$5,154 交易量
<1%
阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP）
$4,642 交易量
<1%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus heavily favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) as the winner of Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly, reflecting consistent pre-election opinion polls projecting a landslide for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), with surveys like Matrize-IANS forecasting 96-98 seats for BJP alone and News18-Vote Vibe estimating 80-90 for NDA allies including AGP and BPF. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong approval, driven by development initiatives and migration controls, has solidified support among upper Assam Hindus, tea tribes, and OBC voters, while opposition Congress-led alliances struggle with vote splits from AIUDF and others. Voting concluded on April 9 with record 85% turnout; results due May 4. Upsets could arise from counting discrepancies or regional opposition surges in Lower Assam and Barak Valley, though historical polling accuracy tempers such risks.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET
交易量
$60,364結束日期
2026-04-09市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Trader consensus heavily favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) as the winner of Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly, reflecting consistent pre-election opinion polls projecting a landslide for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), with surveys like Matrize-IANS forecasting 96-98 seats for BJP alone and News18-Vote Vibe estimating 80-90 for NDA allies including AGP and BPF. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong approval, driven by development initiatives and migration controls, has solidified support among upper Assam Hindus, tea tribes, and OBC voters, while opposition Congress-led alliances struggle with vote splits from AIUDF and others. Voting concluded on April 9 with record 85% turnout; results due May 4. Upsets could arise from counting discrepancies or regional opposition surges in Lower Assam and Barak Valley, though historical polling accuracy tempers such risks.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
交易量
$60,364結束日期
2026-04-09市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) as the winner of Assam's 126-seat Legislative Assembly, reflecting consistent pre-election opinion polls projecting a landslide for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), with surveys like Matrize-IANS forecasting 96-98 seats for BJP alone and News18-Vote Vibe estimating 80-90 for NDA allies including AGP and BPF. Incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's strong approval, driven by development initiatives and migration controls, has solidified support among upper Assam Hindus, tea tribes, and OBC voters, while opposition Congress-led alliances struggle with vote splits from AIUDF and others. Voting concluded on April 9 with record 85% turnout; results due May 4. Upsets could arise from counting discrepancies or regional opposition surges in Lower Assam and Barak Valley, though historical polling accuracy tempers such risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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