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政治·世界選舉

阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家

Market icon
政治·世界選舉

阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家

印度人民黨（BJP） 95.6%

印度國民大會黨（INC） 2.9%

全印度草根大眾會 (AITC) <1%

印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%

Polymarket

$61,311 交易量

印度人民黨（BJP） 95.6%

印度國民大會黨（INC） 2.9%

全印度草根大眾會 (AITC) <1%

印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%

Polymarket

$61,311 交易量

在2026年阿薩姆邦立法機構選舉中，印度人民黨（BJP）會贏得最多席次嗎？ icon

印度人民黨（BJP）

$11,856 交易量

96%

印度國民大會黨（INC）會在2026年阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

印度國民大會黨（INC）

$7,409 交易量

3%

全印度草根大眾會 (AITC) 會在2026年阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

全印度草根大眾會 (AITC)

$4,519 交易量

<1%

印度共產黨（馬克思主義） [CPI(M)] 會在2026年阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

印度共產黨（馬克思主義）

$4,847 交易量

<1%

全國國民大會黨（NCP）會在2026年阿薩姆邦立法會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

全國國民大會黨（NCP）

$4,222 交易量

<1%

全印度聯合民主陣線（AIUDF）會在2026年阿薩姆邦立法會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

全印度聯合民主陣線（AIUDF）

$4,933 交易量

<1%

博多蘭人民陣線（BPF）會在2026年阿薩姆邦立法會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

博多蘭人民陣線（BPF）

$4,474 交易量

<1%

印度共產黨（CPI）會在2026年阿薩姆邦立法會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

印度共產黨（CPI）

$9,171 交易量

<1%

國民人民黨（NPEP）會在2026年阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

NPEP

$5,221 交易量

<1%

阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP）會在2026年阿薩姆邦立法會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？ icon

阿薩姆人民聯盟（AGP）

$4,659 交易量

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Post-election surveys and exit polls following the April 9 Assam Legislative Assembly voting—marked by record 76% turnout—project the incumbent BJP-led NDA alliance securing 90-102 of 126 seats, well above the 64-seat majority threshold, driving trader consensus to 95.5% implied probability for BJP victory. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's focus on development, job creation, and peace has bolstered incumbency advantages amid a fragmented opposition, with INC alliances polling at 22-32 seats. Consistent pre-poll data from sources like ABP-Matrize reinforces this positioning. Results await counting on May 4; a dramatic upset would require unforeseen vote shifts, EVM discrepancies, or coalition realignments, though historical patterns favor poll accuracy in state elections.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
交易量
$61,311
結束日期
2026-04-09
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).Post-election surveys and exit polls following the April 9 Assam Legislative Assembly voting—marked by record 76% turnout—project the incumbent BJP-led NDA alliance securing 90-102 of 126 seats, well above the 64-seat majority threshold, driving trader consensus to 95.5% implied probability for BJP victory. Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma's focus on development, job creation, and peace has bolstered incumbency advantages amid a fragmented opposition, with INC alliances polling at 22-32 seats. Consistent pre-poll data from sources like ABP-Matrize reinforces this positioning. Results await counting on May 4; a dramatic upset would require unforeseen vote shifts, EVM discrepancies, or coalition realignments, though historical patterns favor poll accuracy in state elections.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).
交易量
$61,311
結束日期
2026-04-09
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Assam, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Assam Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Assam Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituencies (AC).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "印度人民黨（BJP）" at 96%, followed by "印度國民大會黨（INC）" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家" has generated $61.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家" is "印度人民黨（BJP）" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "印度國民大會黨（INC）" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "阿薩姆邦立法議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.