Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's rural and conservative-leaning profile across counties including Navajo, Coconino, and Yavapai. Crane defeated Nez by roughly nine points in 2024 and enters the rematch with stronger fundraising—nearly $9.5 million raised versus Nez's $3.5 million—plus substantial cash reserves and early ad reservations. Recent polling shows Crane ahead by double digits in one survey and narrowly in another, consistent with typical midterm incumbent retention patterns in similar districts. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, has focused criticism on Crane's votes related to spending and foreign policy, yet the district's voter base and Crane's primary performance support the current trader consensus favoring the Republican.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
伊萊·克蘭（共和黨）
68%
Jonathan Nez（民主黨）
33%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
伊萊·克蘭（共和黨）
$2,134 交易量
68%
Jonathan Nez（民主黨）
$1,507 交易量
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's rural and conservative-leaning profile across counties including Navajo, Coconino, and Yavapai. Crane defeated Nez by roughly nine points in 2024 and enters the rematch with stronger fundraising—nearly $9.5 million raised versus Nez's $3.5 million—plus substantial cash reserves and early ad reservations. Recent polling shows Crane ahead by double digits in one survey and narrowly in another, consistent with typical midterm incumbent retention patterns in similar districts. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, has focused criticism on Crane's votes related to spending and foreign policy, yet the district's voter base and Crane's primary performance support the current trader consensus favoring the Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
交易量
$3,641結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's rural and conservative-leaning profile across counties including Navajo, Coconino, and Yavapai. Crane defeated Nez by roughly nine points in 2024 and enters the rematch with stronger fundraising—nearly $9.5 million raised versus Nez's $3.5 million—plus substantial cash reserves and early ad reservations. Recent polling shows Crane ahead by double digits in one survey and narrowly in another, consistent with typical midterm incumbent retention patterns in similar districts. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, has focused criticism on Crane's votes related to spending and foreign policy, yet the district's voter base and Crane's primary performance support the current trader consensus favoring the Republican.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,641結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETIncumbent Republican Eli Crane holds a clear edge in Arizona's 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's rural and conservative-leaning profile across counties including Navajo, Coconino, and Yavapai. Crane defeated Nez by roughly nine points in 2024 and enters the rematch with stronger fundraising—nearly $9.5 million raised versus Nez's $3.5 million—plus substantial cash reserves and early ad reservations. Recent polling shows Crane ahead by double digits in one survey and narrowly in another, consistent with typical midterm incumbent retention patterns in similar districts. Nez, the former Navajo Nation president, has focused criticism on Crane's votes related to spending and foreign policy, yet the district's voter base and Crane's primary performance support the current trader consensus favoring the Republican.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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