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保加利亞議會選舉贏家

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保加利亞議會選舉贏家

PB 99.0%

GERB–SDS <1%

我們繼續變革—民主保加利亞(PP–DB) <1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$216,630 交易量

PB 99.0%

GERB–SDS <1%

我們繼續變革—民主保加利亞(PP–DB) <1%

DPS <1%

Polymarket

$216,630 交易量

進步保加利亞(PB)會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中贏得最多席次嗎? icon

PB

$75,843 交易量

99%

GERB-SDS(保加利亞歐洲發展公民黨-聯合民主勢力)會在2026年保加利亞國會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎? icon

GERB–SDS

$35,441 交易量

<1%

我們繼續變革—民主保加利亞(PP–DB)會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎? icon

我們繼續變革—民主保加利亞(PP–DB)

$34,287 交易量

<1%

權利與自由運動(DPS)會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎? icon

DPS

$4,252 交易量

<1%

在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中,「有這樣一個人民」(ITN)會贏得最多席次嗎? icon

ITN

$11,889 交易量

<1%

Velichie 會在 2026 年保加利亞議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎? icon

Velichie

$15,738 交易量

<1%

權利與自由聯盟(APS)會在2026年保加利亞國會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎? icon

APS

$11,608 交易量

<1%

保加利亞社會黨-聯合左翼會在2026年保加利亞國會選舉中贏得最多席次嗎? icon

保加利亞社會黨-聯合左翼

$7,898 交易量

<1%

道德、團結、榮譽(MECH)會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎? icon

MECH

$10,144 交易量

<1%

在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中,復興黨會贏得最多席位嗎? icon

復興黨

$9,543 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus for the April 19 snap parliamentary election due to consistent double-digit leads in final polls, with recent surveys like Market Links (April 14, PB 37%) and CAM (April 3-14, PB 32% projecting 90 seats) far ahead of GERB-SDS at 19-21%. Radev's anti-corruption platform resonates amid Bulgaria's political deadlock—the eighth snap vote since 2021—exacerbated by the prior government's resignation over budget disputes and graft allegations, under a mixed electoral system favoring larger parties. Recent stability in polling aggregates reflects voter fatigue with fragmented coalitions. Despite the 99% implied probability, late scandals, undecided voter swings (around 15-20%), or turnout surges could challenge PB's plurality in the 240-seat National Assembly.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$216,630
結束日期
2026-04-19
市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus for the April 19 snap parliamentary election due to consistent double-digit leads in final polls, with recent surveys like Market Links (April 14, PB 37%) and CAM (April 3-14, PB 32% projecting 90 seats) far ahead of GERB-SDS at 19-21%. Radev's anti-corruption platform resonates amid Bulgaria's political deadlock—the eighth snap vote since 2021—exacerbated by the prior government's resignation over budget disputes and graft allegations, under a mixed electoral system favoring larger parties. Recent stability in polling aggregates reflects voter fatigue with fragmented coalitions. Despite the 99% implied probability, late scandals, undecided voter swings (around 15-20%), or turnout surges could challenge PB's plurality in the 240-seat National Assembly.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$216,630
結束日期
2026-04-19
市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"保加利亞議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "PB" at 99%, followed by "GERB–SDS" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "保加利亞議會選舉贏家" has generated $216.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "保加利亞議會選舉贏家," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "保加利亞議會選舉贏家" is "PB" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "GERB–SDS" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "保加利亞議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.