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政治·世界選舉

泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家

icon for 泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家
政治·世界選舉

泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家

TVK 100.0%

全印度草根大會黨（AITC） <1%

印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%

德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆（DMDK） <1%

Polymarket

$22,919,236 交易量

TVK 100.0%

全印度草根大會黨（AITC） <1%

印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%

德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆（DMDK） <1%

Polymarket

$22,919,236 交易量

icon for 全印度草根大會黨（AITC）

全印度草根大會黨（AITC）

$82,113 交易量

否

icon for 印度共產黨（馬克思主義）

印度共產黨（馬克思主義）

$60,330 交易量

否

icon for 德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆（DMDK）

德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆（DMDK）

$37,571 交易量

否

icon for 巴胡詹社會黨（BSP）

巴胡詹社會黨（BSP）

$28,455 交易量

否

icon for 印度共產黨（CPI）

印度共產黨（CPI）

$28,075 交易量

否

icon for 印度國民大會黨（INC）

印度國民大會黨（INC）

$17,877,969 交易量

否

icon for NPEP

NPEP

$43,638 交易量

否

icon for 德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK）

德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK）

$1,170,272 交易量

否

icon for TVK

TVK

$2,275,879 交易量

是

icon for 印度人民黨（BJP）

印度人民黨（BJP）

$74,581 交易量

否

icon for 全國國民大會黨（NCP）

全國國民大會黨（NCP）

$29,306 交易量

否

icon for ADMK

ADMK

$1,211,046 交易量

否

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Vote counting for the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election on May 4, 2026, has propelled Thamizhaga Vetri Kazhagam (TVK), led by actor-turned-politician Vijay, to a commanding lead with over 100 of 234 constituencies, securing a clear majority to form the next government and ending the long-standing Dravidian dominance of DMK and AIADMK. Trader consensus at 100% for TVK reflects real-time trends showing decisive victories even in DMK strongholds like Chennai, fueled by anti-incumbent sentiment over governance issues, Vijay's mass appeal among youth and urban voters, and effective campaign strategies. While official certification is pending, substantial leads minimize upset risks, though recounts in narrow margins or legal challenges could theoretically alter outcomes before final assembly session.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$22,919,236
結束日期
2026-04-23
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Vote counting for the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election on May 4, 2026, has propelled Thamizhaga Vetri Kazhagam (TVK), led by actor-turned-politician Vijay, to a commanding lead with over 100 of 234 constituencies, securing a clear majority to form the next government and ending the long-standing Dravidian dominance of DMK and AIADMK. Trader consensus at 100% for TVK reflects real-time trends showing decisive victories even in DMK strongholds like Chennai, fueled by anti-incumbent sentiment over governance issues, Vijay's mass appeal among youth and urban voters, and effective campaign strategies. While official certification is pending, substantial leads minimize upset risks, though recounts in narrow margins or legal challenges could theoretically alter outcomes before final assembly session.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$22,919,236
結束日期
2026-04-23
市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "TVK" at 100%, followed by "全印度草根大會黨（AITC）" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家" has generated $22.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家" is "TVK" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "全印度草根大會黨（AITC）" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "泰米爾納德邦立法議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.