Vote counting for the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election on May 4, 2026, has propelled Thamizhaga Vetri Kazhagam (TVK), led by actor-turned-politician Vijay, to a commanding lead with over 100 of 234 constituencies, securing a clear majority to form the next government and ending the long-standing Dravidian dominance of DMK and AIADMK. Trader consensus at 100% for TVK reflects real-time trends showing decisive victories even in DMK strongholds like Chennai, fueled by anti-incumbent sentiment over governance issues, Vijay's mass appeal among youth and urban voters, and effective campaign strategies. While official certification is pending, substantial leads minimize upset risks, though recounts in narrow margins or legal challenges could theoretically alter outcomes before final assembly session.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於TVK 100.0%
全印度草根大會黨（AITC） <1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%
德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆（DMDK） <1%
$22,919,236 交易量
$22,919,236 交易量
2026-04-23
全印度草根大會黨（AITC）
否
印度共產黨（馬克思主義）
否
德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆（DMDK）
否
巴胡詹社會黨（BSP）
否
印度共產黨（CPI）
否
印度國民大會黨（INC）
否
NPEP
否
德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK）
否
TVK
是
印度人民黨（BJP）
否
全國國民大會黨（NCP）
否
ADMK
否
TVK 100.0%
全印度草根大會黨（AITC） <1%
印度共產黨（馬克思主義） <1%
德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆（DMDK） <1%
$22,919,236 交易量
$22,919,236 交易量
2026-04-23
全印度草根大會黨（AITC）
$82,113 交易量
否
印度共產黨（馬克思主義）
$60,330 交易量
否
德希亞穆爾普庫德拉維達卡魯訶加姆（DMDK）
$37,571 交易量
否
巴胡詹社會黨（BSP）
$28,455 交易量
否
印度共產黨（CPI）
$28,075 交易量
否
印度國民大會黨（INC）
$17,877,969 交易量
否
NPEP
$43,638 交易量
否
德拉維達進步聯盟（DMK）
$1,170,272 交易量
否
TVK
$2,275,879 交易量
是
印度人民黨（BJP）
$74,581 交易量
否
全國國民大會黨（NCP）
$29,306 交易量
否
ADMK
$1,211,046 交易量
否
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Vote counting for the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election on May 4, 2026, has propelled Thamizhaga Vetri Kazhagam (TVK), led by actor-turned-politician Vijay, to a commanding lead with over 100 of 234 constituencies, securing a clear majority to form the next government and ending the long-standing Dravidian dominance of DMK and AIADMK. Trader consensus at 100% for TVK reflects real-time trends showing decisive victories even in DMK strongholds like Chennai, fueled by anti-incumbent sentiment over governance issues, Vijay's mass appeal among youth and urban voters, and effective campaign strategies. While official certification is pending, substantial leads minimize upset risks, though recounts in narrow margins or legal challenges could theoretically alter outcomes before final assembly session.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
市場開放時間： Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ET
交易量
$22,919,236結束日期
2026-04-23市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Vote counting for the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election on May 4, 2026, has propelled Thamizhaga Vetri Kazhagam (TVK), led by actor-turned-politician Vijay, to a commanding lead with over 100 of 234 constituencies, securing a clear majority to form the next government and ending the long-standing Dravidian dominance of DMK and AIADMK. Trader consensus at 100% for TVK reflects real-time trends showing decisive victories even in DMK strongholds like Chennai, fueled by anti-incumbent sentiment over governance issues, Vijay's mass appeal among youth and urban voters, and effective campaign strategies. While official certification is pending, substantial leads minimize upset risks, though recounts in narrow margins or legal challenges could theoretically alter outcomes before final assembly session.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Tamil Nadu, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
交易量
$22,919,236結束日期
2026-04-23市場開放時間
Dec 23, 2025, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Vote counting for the Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election on May 4, 2026, has propelled Thamizhaga Vetri Kazhagam (TVK), led by actor-turned-politician Vijay, to a commanding lead with over 100 of 234 constituencies, securing a clear majority to form the next government and ending the long-standing Dravidian dominance of DMK and AIADMK. Trader consensus at 100% for TVK reflects real-time trends showing decisive victories even in DMK strongholds like Chennai, fueled by anti-incumbent sentiment over governance issues, Vijay's mass appeal among youth and urban voters, and effective campaign strategies. While official certification is pending, substantial leads minimize upset risks, though recounts in narrow margins or legal challenges could theoretically alter outcomes before final assembly session.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions