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選舉·全球選舉

保加利亞議會選舉：第三名

Market icon
選舉·全球選舉

保加利亞議會選舉：第三名

PP–DB 75%

DPS 16%

復興黨 2.6%

GERB-SDS 1.4%

Polymarket

$86,366 交易量

PP–DB 75%

DPS 16%

復興黨 2.6%

GERB-SDS 1.4%

Polymarket

$86,366 交易量

“我們繼續改變—民主保加利亞”（PP–DB）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中獲得第三名嗎？ icon

PP–DB

$24,489 交易量

75%

在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中，權利與自由運動（DPS）會排在第三名嗎？ icon

DPS

$12,803 交易量

16%

在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中，復興黨（Vazrazhdane）會排在第三名嗎？ icon

復興黨

$3,152 交易量

3%

GERB-UDF（GERB-SDS）是否會在2026年保加利亞國會選舉中名列第三？ icon

GERB-SDS

$15,073 交易量

1%

道德、團結、榮譽（MECh）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中獲得第三名嗎？ icon

MECh

$3,264 交易量

<1%

聯合左翼（BSP）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中名列第三嗎？ icon

BSP

$20,073 交易量

<1%

「有這樣一個人民」（ITN）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中獲得第三名嗎？ icon

ITN

$2,065 交易量

<1%

在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中，進步保加利亞（PB）會以第三名完成嗎？ icon

PB

$1,575 交易量

<1%

權利與自由聯盟（APS）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中取得第三名嗎？ icon

APS

$2,076 交易量

<1%

Velichie（維利奇耶）會在2026年保加利亞議會選舉中獲得第三名嗎？ icon

維利奇耶

$1,802 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leads opinion polls at around 31-33% ahead of Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, with GERB-SDS polling second at 19-21%, positioning the contest for third place primarily between PP-DB (11-12%) and DPS (10-11%). Trader consensus heavily favors PP-DB due to its consistent edge in recent surveys like the April 14 CAM poll and PolitPro aggregates, where it outpaces DPS amid the latter's associations with controversial leader Delyan Peevski. Intensified crackdowns on vote-buying—yielding over €1 million in seized funds and arrests since mid-March—may further erode DPS support, while Vazrazhdane trails at 6-7%. No single party nears the 121-seat majority threshold, heightening coalition negotiation risks post-election.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$86,366
結束日期
2026-04-19
市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leads opinion polls at around 31-33% ahead of Bulgaria's snap parliamentary election on April 19, with GERB-SDS polling second at 19-21%, positioning the contest for third place primarily between PP-DB (11-12%) and DPS (10-11%). Trader consensus heavily favors PP-DB due to its consistent edge in recent surveys like the April 14 CAM poll and PolitPro aggregates, where it outpaces DPS amid the latter's associations with controversial leader Delyan Peevski. Intensified crackdowns on vote-buying—yielding over €1 million in seized funds and arrests since mid-March—may further erode DPS support, while Vazrazhdane trails at 6-7%. No single party nears the 121-seat majority threshold, heightening coalition negotiation risks post-election.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
交易量
$86,366
結束日期
2026-04-19
市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 12:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"保加利亞議會選舉：第三名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "PP–DB" at 75%, followed by "DPS" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "保加利亞議會選舉：第三名" has generated $86.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "保加利亞議會選舉：第三名," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "保加利亞議會選舉：第三名" is "PP–DB" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "DPS" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "保加利亞議會選舉：第三名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.