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CA-25 Primary Winners

icon for CA-25 Primary Winners

CA-25 Primary Winners

$898 交易量

2026-06-02
Polymarket

$898 交易量

Polymarket

Raul Ruiz

$490 交易量

99%

Joe Males

$178 交易量

97%

Ron Huffman

$91 交易量

48%

Ceci Truman

$140 交易量

1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 25th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz secured first place in California's June 2 top-two primary for the 25th congressional district, advancing to the November general election alongside Republican Joe Males, who finished second. Ruiz captured roughly 58-59% of the vote while Males received about 20%, with the remaining Republican votes split among Ronald Huffman and Ceci Andrade Truman. The district's strong Democratic tilt and Ruiz's incumbency since 2013 limited the impact of Republican challengers focused on issues such as healthcare, immigration, and cost of living. The general election matchup between Ruiz and Males is scheduled for November 3, 2026, with no further primary-stage developments expected to alter the outcome.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 25th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$898
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
May 25, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 25th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 25th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Raul Ruiz secured first place in California's June 2 top-two primary for the 25th congressional district, advancing to the November general election alongside Republican Joe Males, who finished second. Ruiz captured roughly 58-59% of the vote while Males received about 20%, with the remaining Republican votes split among Ronald Huffman and Ceci Andrade Truman. The district's strong Democratic tilt and Ruiz's incumbency since 2013 limited the impact of Republican challengers focused on issues such as healthcare, immigration, and cost of living. The general election matchup between Ruiz and Males is scheduled for November 3, 2026, with no further primary-stage developments expected to alter the outcome.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 25th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$898
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
May 25, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 25th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-25 Primary Winners" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Raul Ruiz" at 99%, followed by "Joe Males" at 97%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CA-25 Primary Winners" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CA-25 Primary Winners," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-25 Primary Winners" is "Raul Ruiz" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joe Males" at 97%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-25 Primary Winners" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.