Canada’s federal government has implemented the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 while sharply cutting new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000 for 2026. These measures target a reduction in the non-permanent resident share to under 5 percent of the total population by the end of 2027. Statistics Canada data confirm three consecutive quarterly population declines through April 2026, driven primarily by net outflows of temporary residents exceeding 117,000 in Q1 alone, alongside lower permanent immigration and slightly negative natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Office projections indicate flat or contracting total population for the year, aligning with trader consensus on a net decrease.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Up
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This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Jan 27, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Down" if the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2026 is less than the population of Canada in the 4th quarter of 2025.
If the population in the 4th quarter of 2025 and the population in the 4th quarter of 2026 are exactly equal, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the relevant quarterly population estimate release is not available by April 30, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Canada’s federal government has implemented the 2026-2028 Immigration Levels Plan, stabilizing permanent resident admissions at 380,000 while sharply cutting new temporary resident arrivals to 385,000 for 2026. These measures target a reduction in the non-permanent resident share to under 5 percent of the total population by the end of 2027. Statistics Canada data confirm three consecutive quarterly population declines through April 2026, driven primarily by net outflows of temporary residents exceeding 117,000 in Q1 alone, alongside lower permanent immigration and slightly negative natural increase. Parliamentary Budget Office projections indicate flat or contracting total population for the year, aligning with trader consensus on a net decrease.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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