Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability for Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7—likely Opus 4.7—on or before April 16, fueled by The Information's April 14 report signaling a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full Claude Code desktop app redesign enabling side-by-side sessions and voice commands, which historically precedes major model drops. Codebase leaks from late March confirmed Opus 4.7 strings and a 1M-token context window for the related Mythos tier, boosting expectations of superior reasoning and SWE-Bench performance over Claude 4.6's 53.4% score. April 17 at 7.4% reflects minor delay risk amid Anthropic's accelerated cycles, though ASL-3 safety reviews could introduce slippage; resolution hinges on today's potential rollout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在 4 月 16 日或之前 87%
4 月 17 日 7.7%
4月21日 1.9%
在 4 月 30 日之前未發布 1.8%
最新
$61,110 交易量
最新
$61,110 交易量
2026-04-30
在 4 月 16 日或之前
87%
4 月 17 日
8%
4月18日
2%
4 月 19 日
1%
4月20日
2%
4月21日
2%
4月22日
1%
4 月 23 日
<1%
4 月 24 日
1%
4 月 25 日
<1%
4月26日
1%
4月27日
<1%
4 月 28 日
<1%
4 月 29 日
1%
4 月 30 日
<1%
在 4 月 30 日之前未發布
2%
在 4 月 16 日或之前 87%
4 月 17 日 7.7%
4月21日 1.9%
在 4 月 30 日之前未發布 1.8%
最新
$61,110 交易量
最新
$61,110 交易量
2026-04-30
在 4 月 16 日或之前
$24,777 交易量
87%
4 月 17 日
$3,505 交易量
8%
4月18日
$3,981 交易量
2%
4 月 19 日
$3,154 交易量
1%
4月20日
$2,377 交易量
2%
4月21日
$2,074 交易量
2%
4月22日
$1,725 交易量
1%
4 月 23 日
$1,681 交易量
<1%
4 月 24 日
$2,102 交易量
1%
4 月 25 日
$2,426 交易量
<1%
4月26日
$2,141 交易量
1%
4月27日
$2,291 交易量
<1%
4 月 28 日
$1,689 交易量
<1%
4 月 29 日
$1,661 交易量
1%
4 月 30 日
$1,571 交易量
<1%
在 4 月 30 日之前未發布
$4,104 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability for Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7—likely Opus 4.7—on or before April 16, fueled by The Information's April 14 report signaling a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full Claude Code desktop app redesign enabling side-by-side sessions and voice commands, which historically precedes major model drops. Codebase leaks from late March confirmed Opus 4.7 strings and a 1M-token context window for the related Mythos tier, boosting expectations of superior reasoning and SWE-Bench performance over Claude 4.6's 53.4% score. April 17 at 7.4% reflects minor delay risk amid Anthropic's accelerated cycles, though ASL-3 safety reviews could introduce slippage; resolution hinges on today's potential rollout.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
交易量
$61,110結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability for Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7—likely Opus 4.7—on or before April 16, fueled by The Information's April 14 report signaling a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full Claude Code desktop app redesign enabling side-by-side sessions and voice commands, which historically precedes major model drops. Codebase leaks from late March confirmed Opus 4.7 strings and a 1M-token context window for the related Mythos tier, boosting expectations of superior reasoning and SWE-Bench performance over Claude 4.6's 53.4% score. April 17 at 7.4% reflects minor delay risk amid Anthropic's accelerated cycles, though ASL-3 safety reviews could introduce slippage; resolution hinges on today's potential rollout.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$61,110結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 86.5% implied probability for Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7—likely Opus 4.7—on or before April 16, fueled by The Information's April 14 report signaling a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full Claude Code desktop app redesign enabling side-by-side sessions and voice commands, which historically precedes major model drops. Codebase leaks from late March confirmed Opus 4.7 strings and a 1M-token context window for the related Mythos tier, boosting expectations of superior reasoning and SWE-Bench performance over Claude 4.6's 53.4% score. April 17 at 7.4% reflects minor delay risk amid Anthropic's accelerated cycles, though ASL-3 safety reviews could introduce slippage; resolution hinges on today's potential rollout.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions