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Claude 4.7發布於... ?

Market icon

Claude 4.7發布於... ?

在 4 月 16 日或之前 79%

4 月 17 日 10.4%

在 4 月 30 日之前未發布 2.4%

4月18日 1.6%

Polymarket
最新

$115,463 交易量

在 4 月 16 日或之前 79%

4 月 17 日 10.4%

在 4 月 30 日之前未發布 2.4%

4月18日 1.6%

Polymarket
最新

$115,463 交易量

在 4 月 16 日或之前

$53,880 交易量

79%

4 月 17 日

$9,653 交易量

10%

4月18日

$5,942 交易量

2%

4 月 19 日

$5,119 交易量

1%

4月20日

$4,591 交易量

1%

4月21日

$4,041 交易量

1%

4月22日

$2,976 交易量

<1%

4 月 23 日

$2,736 交易量

1%

4 月 24 日

$3,014 交易量

<1%

4 月 25 日

$3,307 交易量

<1%

4月26日

$3,205 交易量

<1%

4月27日

$3,213 交易量

<1%

4 月 28 日

$2,648 交易量

1%

4 月 29 日

$2,451 交易量

<1%

4 月 30 日

$2,417 交易量

<1%

在 4 月 30 日之前未發布

$6,466 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors Claude 4.7 releasing on or prior to April 16 at 76.5% implied probability, propelled by a recent exclusive report from The Information revealing Anthropic's preparations for Claude Opus 4.7 alongside an AI design tool, potentially launching as soon as this week. This follows Claude Opus 4.6's February 2026 debut and adheres to Anthropic's accelerated large language model iteration cycle—Opus 4.5 in November 2025—to maintain competitive edge against rivals like OpenAI's GPT series. Codebase leaks and historical patterns reinforce near-term expectations, though no official announcement has materialized, leaving room for delays that could boost April 17 odds at 10.1%; traders eye today's potential rollout amid high-stakes AI capability races.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.

Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$115,463
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors Claude 4.7 releasing on or prior to April 16 at 76.5% implied probability, propelled by a recent exclusive report from The Information revealing Anthropic's preparations for Claude Opus 4.7 alongside an AI design tool, potentially launching as soon as this week. This follows Claude Opus 4.6's February 2026 debut and adheres to Anthropic's accelerated large language model iteration cycle—Opus 4.5 in November 2025—to maintain competitive edge against rivals like OpenAI's GPT series. Codebase leaks and historical patterns reinforce near-term expectations, though no official announcement has materialized, leaving room for delays that could boost April 17 odds at 10.1%; traders eye today's potential rollout amid high-stakes AI capability races.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.

Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$115,463
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Claude 4.7發布於... ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "在 4 月 16 日或之前" at 79%, followed by "4 月 17 日" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Claude 4.7發布於... ?" has generated $115.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Claude 4.7發布於... ?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Claude 4.7發布於... ?" is "在 4 月 16 日或之前" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4 月 17 日" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Claude 4.7發布於... ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.