Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors Claude 4.7 releasing on or prior to April 16 at 76.5% implied probability, propelled by a recent exclusive report from The Information revealing Anthropic's preparations for Claude Opus 4.7 alongside an AI design tool, potentially launching as soon as this week. This follows Claude Opus 4.6's February 2026 debut and adheres to Anthropic's accelerated large language model iteration cycle—Opus 4.5 in November 2025—to maintain competitive edge against rivals like OpenAI's GPT series. Codebase leaks and historical patterns reinforce near-term expectations, though no official announcement has materialized, leaving room for delays that could boost April 17 odds at 10.1%; traders eye today's potential rollout amid high-stakes AI capability races.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在 4 月 16 日或之前 79%
4 月 17 日 10.4%
在 4 月 30 日之前未發布 2.4%
4月18日 1.6%
$115,463 交易量
$115,463 交易量
在 4 月 16 日或之前
79%
4 月 17 日
10%
4月18日
2%
4 月 19 日
1%
4月20日
1%
4月21日
1%
4月22日
<1%
4 月 23 日
1%
4 月 24 日
<1%
4 月 25 日
<1%
4月26日
<1%
4月27日
<1%
4 月 28 日
1%
4 月 29 日
<1%
4 月 30 日
<1%
在 4 月 30 日之前未發布
2%
在 4 月 16 日或之前 79%
4 月 17 日 10.4%
在 4 月 30 日之前未發布 2.4%
4月18日 1.6%
$115,463 交易量
$115,463 交易量
在 4 月 16 日或之前
79%
4 月 17 日
10%
4月18日
2%
4 月 19 日
1%
4月20日
1%
4月21日
1%
4月22日
<1%
4 月 23 日
1%
4 月 24 日
<1%
4 月 25 日
<1%
4月26日
<1%
4月27日
<1%
4 月 28 日
1%
4 月 29 日
<1%
4 月 30 日
<1%
在 4 月 30 日之前未發布
2%
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors Claude 4.7 releasing on or prior to April 16 at 76.5% implied probability, propelled by a recent exclusive report from The Information revealing Anthropic's preparations for Claude Opus 4.7 alongside an AI design tool, potentially launching as soon as this week. This follows Claude Opus 4.6's February 2026 debut and adheres to Anthropic's accelerated large language model iteration cycle—Opus 4.5 in November 2025—to maintain competitive edge against rivals like OpenAI's GPT series. Codebase leaks and historical patterns reinforce near-term expectations, though no official announcement has materialized, leaving room for delays that could boost April 17 odds at 10.1%; traders eye today's potential rollout amid high-stakes AI capability races.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions