Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C or higher in Buenos Aires on March 28 (67.5% implied probability), driven by ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF and GFS, which project highs of 28–30°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge channeling northerly winds and subtropical warmth into the region. Recent observations confirm this trend, with March 26 highs exceeding 30°C and minimal cooling indicated by latest soundings and satellite-derived moisture profiles. Lower outcomes like 26°C (16%) reflect minor model spread, but official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional outlooks reinforce the warm bias, with traders eyeing hourly forecast updates for final positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 28?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 28?
27°C or higher 67%
26°C 18%
25°C 7%
24°C 5%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
18%
27°C or higher
67%
27°C or higher 67%
26°C 18%
25°C 7%
24°C 5%
17°C or below
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
18%
27°C or higher
67%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C or higher in Buenos Aires on March 28 (67.5% implied probability), driven by ensemble forecasts from global numerical weather prediction models like ECMWF and GFS, which project highs of 28–30°C amid a persistent high-pressure ridge channeling northerly winds and subtropical warmth into the region. Recent observations confirm this trend, with March 26 highs exceeding 30°C and minimal cooling indicated by latest soundings and satellite-derived moisture profiles. Lower outcomes like 26°C (16%) reflect minor model spread, but official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional outlooks reinforce the warm bias, with traders eyeing hourly forecast updates for final positioning ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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