Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–30°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 27, driven primarily by ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in this range amid a stable high-pressure ridge over the pampas. Recent SMN Argentina updates indicate light southerly winds moderating potential heat advection from the northwest, with 28°C holding the edge at 23.5% implied probability due to better agreement on afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation up to 28–29°C. Differentiation hinges on boundary layer mixing and coastal sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow favors 26–27°C (35.5% combined), while delayed favors 29–30°C (28%). Historical late-March averages of 26.5°C add baseline caution, with final odds hinging on 6–12-hour forecast refinements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 27?
28°C 23%
27°C 20%
29°C 15%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
12%
24°C
9%
25°C
10%
26°C
16%
27°C
20%
28°C
23%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 23%
27°C 20%
29°C 15%
30°C 14%
23°C or below
12%
24°C
9%
25°C
10%
26°C
16%
27°C
20%
28°C
23%
29°C
15%
30°C
14%
31°C
6%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 27–30°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 27, driven primarily by ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in this range amid a stable high-pressure ridge over the pampas. Recent SMN Argentina updates indicate light southerly winds moderating potential heat advection from the northwest, with 28°C holding the edge at 23.5% implied probability due to better agreement on afternoon cloud breaks allowing insolation up to 28–29°C. Differentiation hinges on boundary layer mixing and coastal sea breeze timing—earlier onshore flow favors 26–27°C (35.5% combined), while delayed favors 29–30°C (28%). Historical late-March averages of 26.5°C add baseline caution, with final odds hinging on 6–12-hour forecast refinements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions