Trader sentiment on Houston's March 27 high temperature clusters tightly around 82-85°F, driven by the latest NOAA ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks near 84°F under a weak upper-level ridge fostering warm advection from the southwest. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary layer mixing and Gulf of Mexico humidity influx, with drier northerly winds potentially capping highs at 82-83°F (19% odds) versus enhanced solar insolation pushing toward 86-87°F (15%). Historical March norms average 77-79°F, but recent soundings show above-normal 850mb temperatures (+4-6°C anomaly), amplifying upside risk; traders eye afternoon updates from the National Weather Service for convective threats that could trim peaks. Market-implied odds reflect this 2-3°F model spread amid typical spring volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 27?
84-85°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
86-87°F 15%
88-89°F 12%
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
8%
94°F or higher
3%
84-85°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
86-87°F 15%
88-89°F 12%
75°F or below
2%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
12%
90-91°F
11%
92-93°F
8%
94°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Houston's March 27 high temperature clusters tightly around 82-85°F, driven by the latest NOAA ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models projecting peaks near 84°F under a weak upper-level ridge fostering warm advection from the southwest. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary layer mixing and Gulf of Mexico humidity influx, with drier northerly winds potentially capping highs at 82-83°F (19% odds) versus enhanced solar insolation pushing toward 86-87°F (15%). Historical March norms average 77-79°F, but recent soundings show above-normal 850mb temperatures (+4-6°C anomaly), amplifying upside risk; traders eye afternoon updates from the National Weather Service for convective threats that could trim peaks. Market-implied odds reflect this 2-3°F model spread amid typical spring volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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