Trader consensus on Munich's March 27 high temperature tightly clusters around 7°C (29.5%), 6°C (28.5%), and 5°C (20%), driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on 5-7°C amid a persistent northerly airflow channeling cool continental air masses southward. Recent 00Z model runs slightly favor 7°C with minor warming signals from diurnal mixing and urban heat effects, differentiating it from cooler 5-6°C outliers tied to deeper boundary layer inversions. This contrasts seasonal norms of ~10°C highs, as a blocking high over Scandinavia suppresses advection of milder Atlantic air. Traders eye the next 12Z updates for potential shifts, with low odds on extremes reflecting stable geopotential height patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on March 27?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 27?
7°C 30%
6°C 29%
5°C 20%
4°C 10%
0°C or below
2%
1°C
1%
2°C
2%
3°C
6%
4°C
10%
5°C
20%
6°C
29%
7°C
30%
8°C
8%
9°C
7%
10°C or higher
4%
7°C 30%
6°C 29%
5°C 20%
4°C 10%
0°C or below
2%
1°C
1%
2°C
2%
3°C
6%
4°C
10%
5°C
20%
6°C
29%
7°C
30%
8°C
8%
9°C
7%
10°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Munich's March 27 high temperature tightly clusters around 7°C (29.5%), 6°C (28.5%), and 5°C (20%), driven by ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on 5-7°C amid a persistent northerly airflow channeling cool continental air masses southward. Recent 00Z model runs slightly favor 7°C with minor warming signals from diurnal mixing and urban heat effects, differentiating it from cooler 5-6°C outliers tied to deeper boundary layer inversions. This contrasts seasonal norms of ~10°C highs, as a blocking high over Scandinavia suppresses advection of milder Atlantic air. Traders eye the next 12Z updates for potential shifts, with low odds on extremes reflecting stable geopotential height patterns.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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