Trader sentiment for Dallas's March 27 high temperature hinges on ensemble weather models converging around 82-85°F, with GFS and ECMWF runs showing a robust upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection and subsidence heating, yet capping extremes due to mid-level cloudiness. The 86°F+ outcome at 20.5% reflects optimistic takes on peak ridging intensity per recent 12z updates, while 82-83°F's 19.5% edge stems from historical spring variability—Dallas averages 72°F highs this late March—and slight model spread from potential weak frontal timing. NOAA's forecast leans 83°F, but uncertainty in boundary layer mixing differentiates these bins, with traders eyeing evening updates for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 27?
86°F or higher 21%
82-83°F 20%
76-77°F 15%
84-85°F 15%
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
15%
86°F or higher
21%
86°F or higher 21%
82-83°F 20%
76-77°F 15%
84-85°F 15%
67°F or below
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
14%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
15%
86°F or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Dallas's March 27 high temperature hinges on ensemble weather models converging around 82-85°F, with GFS and ECMWF runs showing a robust upper-level ridge fostering warm air advection and subsidence heating, yet capping extremes due to mid-level cloudiness. The 86°F+ outcome at 20.5% reflects optimistic takes on peak ridging intensity per recent 12z updates, while 82-83°F's 19.5% edge stems from historical spring variability—Dallas averages 72°F highs this late March—and slight model spread from potential weak frontal timing. NOAA's forecast leans 83°F, but uncertainty in boundary layer mixing differentiates these bins, with traders eyeing evening updates for resolution shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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