Latest NOAA and GFS model ensembles project Houston's highest temperature on March 26 around 84-86°F, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus between 82-83°F (28.5%) and 86-87°F (28.0%) outcomes amid a high-pressure ridge over Texas driving warm southerly flow and above-normal highs. Differentiating factors include timing of sea-breeze onset, which could cap peaks at 82-83°F via coastal cooling, versus clearer skies and lighter winds favoring 86-87°F under persistent ridging. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty from potential high cloudiness or subtle frontal influences, with historical March 26 averages near 78°F underscoring the anomaly; traders await 18Z model runs for resolution clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on March 26?
Highest temperature in Houston on March 26?
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 29%
86-87°F 27%
80-81°F 18%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
3%
92°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 30%
82-83°F 29%
86-87°F 27%
80-81°F 18%
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
30%
86-87°F
27%
88-89°F
8%
90-91°F
3%
92°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:25 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA and GFS model ensembles project Houston's highest temperature on March 26 around 84-86°F, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus between 82-83°F (28.5%) and 86-87°F (28.0%) outcomes amid a high-pressure ridge over Texas driving warm southerly flow and above-normal highs. Differentiating factors include timing of sea-breeze onset, which could cap peaks at 82-83°F via coastal cooling, versus clearer skies and lighter winds favoring 86-87°F under persistent ridging. Ensemble spreads reflect uncertainty from potential high cloudiness or subtle frontal influences, with historical March 26 averages near 78°F underscoring the anomaly; traders await 18Z model runs for resolution clarity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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