Trader consensus has coalesced around 28°C as the official daily maximum for Busan on September 19 because Korea Meteorological Administration observations reached a peak of 28.6°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 m/s. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited daytime heating capped near 27–28°C amid moderate humidity and no significant advection of warmer air. The market-implied 100% probability for exactly 28°C reflects traders’ confidence that the KMA station reading will resolve at or immediately adjacent to this threshold once final quality-controlled data are posted. A realistic challenge would require either a revised station maximum falling to 27°C from measurement adjustments or an unexpected late-day spike pushing the official high to 29°C, both of which appear improbable given the current observed trajectory and stable synoptic pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日釜山的最高溫度？
9月19日釜山的最高溫度？
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,072 交易量
$44,072 交易量
2026-09-19
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$44,072 交易量
$44,072 交易量
2026-09-19
22°C或以下
$706 交易量
否
23°C
$512 交易量
否
24°C
$524 交易量
否
25°C
$934 交易量
否
26°C
$6,058 交易量
否
27°C
$11,955 交易量
否
28°C
$8,723 交易量
是
29°C
$6,674 交易量
否
30°C
$6,311 交易量
否
31°C
$1,420 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$256 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around 28°C as the official daily maximum for Busan on September 19 because Korea Meteorological Administration observations reached a peak of 28.6°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 m/s. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited daytime heating capped near 27–28°C amid moderate humidity and no significant advection of warmer air. The market-implied 100% probability for exactly 28°C reflects traders’ confidence that the KMA station reading will resolve at or immediately adjacent to this threshold once final quality-controlled data are posted. A realistic challenge would require either a revised station maximum falling to 27°C from measurement adjustments or an unexpected late-day spike pushing the official high to 29°C, both of which appear improbable given the current observed trajectory and stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$44,072結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has coalesced around 28°C as the official daily maximum for Busan on September 19 because Korea Meteorological Administration observations reached a peak of 28.6°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 m/s. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited daytime heating capped near 27–28°C amid moderate humidity and no significant advection of warmer air. The market-implied 100% probability for exactly 28°C reflects traders’ confidence that the KMA station reading will resolve at or immediately adjacent to this threshold once final quality-controlled data are posted. A realistic challenge would require either a revised station maximum falling to 27°C from measurement adjustments or an unexpected late-day spike pushing the official high to 29°C, both of which appear improbable given the current observed trajectory and stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$44,072結束日期
2026-09-19市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus has coalesced around 28°C as the official daily maximum for Busan on September 19 because Korea Meteorological Administration observations reached a peak of 28.6°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies and steady northeast winds of 10–15 m/s. This aligns with model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs showing limited daytime heating capped near 27–28°C amid moderate humidity and no significant advection of warmer air. The market-implied 100% probability for exactly 28°C reflects traders’ confidence that the KMA station reading will resolve at or immediately adjacent to this threshold once final quality-controlled data are posted. A realistic challenge would require either a revised station maximum falling to 27°C from measurement adjustments or an unexpected late-day spike pushing the official high to 29°C, both of which appear improbable given the current observed trajectory and stable synoptic pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions