Trader consensus on an 18°C high for Cape Town on September 16, 2026, reflects alignment across global forecast models and real-time observations showing a daily maximum near that threshold. Clear skies, southeast winds of 15–25 mph, and dry air have supported gradual afternoon warming to around 18°C, consistent with GFS guidance and station data tracking temperatures peaking in the late afternoon. This positioning draws from the wisdom of crowds incorporating current pressure trends near 1030 mb and low precipitation probability. Minor deviations could arise from station-specific microclimates or final official verification by the South African Weather Service, though current conditions leave little room for outcomes outside 17–19°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦9月16日的最高溫度？
開普敦9月16日的最高溫度？
18°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$28,416 交易量
$28,416 交易量
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
是
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
18°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$28,416 交易量
$28,416 交易量
2026-09-16
11°C或以下
$1,508 交易量
否
12°C
$399 交易量
否
13°C
$271 交易量
否
14°C
$271 交易量
否
15°C
$1,565 交易量
否
16°C
$3,494 交易量
否
17°C
$5,065 交易量
否
18°C
$5,589 交易量
是
19°C
$3,959 交易量
否
20°C
$3,628 交易量
否
21°C或更高
$2,666 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on an 18°C high for Cape Town on September 16, 2026, reflects alignment across global forecast models and real-time observations showing a daily maximum near that threshold. Clear skies, southeast winds of 15–25 mph, and dry air have supported gradual afternoon warming to around 18°C, consistent with GFS guidance and station data tracking temperatures peaking in the late afternoon. This positioning draws from the wisdom of crowds incorporating current pressure trends near 1030 mb and low precipitation probability. Minor deviations could arise from station-specific microclimates or final official verification by the South African Weather Service, though current conditions leave little room for outcomes outside 17–19°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$28,416結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on an 18°C high for Cape Town on September 16, 2026, reflects alignment across global forecast models and real-time observations showing a daily maximum near that threshold. Clear skies, southeast winds of 15–25 mph, and dry air have supported gradual afternoon warming to around 18°C, consistent with GFS guidance and station data tracking temperatures peaking in the late afternoon. This positioning draws from the wisdom of crowds incorporating current pressure trends near 1030 mb and low precipitation probability. Minor deviations could arise from station-specific microclimates or final official verification by the South African Weather Service, though current conditions leave little room for outcomes outside 17–19°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,416結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus on an 18°C high for Cape Town on September 16, 2026, reflects alignment across global forecast models and real-time observations showing a daily maximum near that threshold. Clear skies, southeast winds of 15–25 mph, and dry air have supported gradual afternoon warming to around 18°C, consistent with GFS guidance and station data tracking temperatures peaking in the late afternoon. This positioning draws from the wisdom of crowds incorporating current pressure trends near 1030 mb and low precipitation probability. Minor deviations could arise from station-specific microclimates or final official verification by the South African Weather Service, though current conditions leave little room for outcomes outside 17–19°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions