Trader consensus on Chicago's March 28 high temperature hinges on the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, which cluster tightly around 50-53°F, implying near-equal probabilities for those bins amid minimal spread in near-surface temperatures. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover: fuller sunshine under a building upper-level ridge favors 52-53°F peaks, while lingering low clouds or a stalled frontal boundary could cap readings at 48-49°F. Recent overnight runs shifted marginally warmer after observed clearing skies, but historical late-March averages near 48°F and jet stream waviness introduce uncertainty, keeping cooler outcomes viable per probabilistic forecasts from the National Weather Service.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 28?
52-53°F 24%
50-51°F 22%
48-49°F 20%
54-55°F 19%
43°F or below
5%
44-45°F
7%
46-47°F
12%
48-49°F
20%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
3%
62°F or higher
1%
52-53°F 24%
50-51°F 22%
48-49°F 20%
54-55°F 19%
43°F or below
5%
44-45°F
7%
46-47°F
12%
48-49°F
20%
50-51°F
22%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
3%
62°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Chicago's March 28 high temperature hinges on the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF model ensembles, which cluster tightly around 50-53°F, implying near-equal probabilities for those bins amid minimal spread in near-surface temperatures. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in boundary layer mixing and cloud cover: fuller sunshine under a building upper-level ridge favors 52-53°F peaks, while lingering low clouds or a stalled frontal boundary could cap readings at 48-49°F. Recent overnight runs shifted marginally warmer after observed clearing skies, but historical late-March averages near 48°F and jet stream waviness introduce uncertainty, keeping cooler outcomes viable per probabilistic forecasts from the National Weather Service.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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