**Latest official and model forecasts for Jinan on September 4, 2026, show a high of 29–31 °C under mostly sunny to clear skies with light northeast winds, placing the outcome solidly above the 26 °C threshold that currently carries 78.5 % market-implied odds.** Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating across the North China Plain, consistent with climatological norms for early September when Jinan averages near 28 °C. Multiple sources, including the Jinan Meteorological Service, WeatherBug, and international models, converge on this range with little spread, reducing uncertainty and reinforcing trader consensus around the upper outcome. No significant frontal passages or moisture advection are expected in the next 24 hours that would cap temperatures below 26 °C. The market’s heavy weighting on 26 °C or higher therefore reflects both the current forecast consensus and the low probability of rapid model shifts before the observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日濟南氣溫最高？
9月4日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C或以上 80%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
16°C或以下
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C或以上
80%
26°C或以上 80%
18°C 4%
19°C 4%
20°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$0 交易量
4%
19°C
$0 交易量
4%
20°C
$0 交易量
4%
21°C
$0 交易量
4%
22°C
$0 交易量
4%
23°C
$0 交易量
4%
24°C
$0 交易量
4%
25°C
$0 交易量
2%
26°C或以上
$0 交易量
80%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official and model forecasts for Jinan on September 4, 2026, show a high of 29–31 °C under mostly sunny to clear skies with light northeast winds, placing the outcome solidly above the 26 °C threshold that currently carries 78.5 % market-implied odds.**
Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating across the North China Plain, consistent with climatological norms for early September when Jinan averages near 28 °C. Multiple sources, including the Jinan Meteorological Service, WeatherBug, and international models, converge on this range with little spread, reducing uncertainty and reinforcing trader consensus around the upper outcome.
No significant frontal passages or moisture advection are expected in the next 24 hours that would cap temperatures below 26 °C. The market’s heavy weighting on 26 °C or higher therefore reflects both the current forecast consensus and the low probability of rapid model shifts before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest official and model forecasts for Jinan on September 4, 2026, show a high of 29–31 °C under mostly sunny to clear skies with light northeast winds, placing the outcome solidly above the 26 °C threshold that currently carries 78.5 % market-implied odds.**
Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating across the North China Plain, consistent with climatological norms for early September when Jinan averages near 28 °C. Multiple sources, including the Jinan Meteorological Service, WeatherBug, and international models, converge on this range with little spread, reducing uncertainty and reinforcing trader consensus around the upper outcome.
No significant frontal passages or moisture advection are expected in the next 24 hours that would cap temperatures below 26 °C. The market’s heavy weighting on 26 °C or higher therefore reflects both the current forecast consensus and the low probability of rapid model shifts before the observation window closes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Latest official and model forecasts for Jinan on September 4, 2026, show a high of 29–31 °C under mostly sunny to clear skies with light northeast winds, placing the outcome solidly above the 26 °C threshold that currently carries 78.5 % market-implied odds.** Persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover support strong daytime solar heating across the North China Plain, consistent with climatological norms for early September when Jinan averages near 28 °C. Multiple sources, including the Jinan Meteorological Service, WeatherBug, and international models, converge on this range with little spread, reducing uncertainty and reinforcing trader consensus around the upper outcome. No significant frontal passages or moisture advection are expected in the next 24 hours that would cap temperatures below 26 °C. The market’s heavy weighting on 26 °C or higher therefore reflects both the current forecast consensus and the low probability of rapid model shifts before the observation window closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions