Traders' tight race between 35°C (37%) and 36°C (33.5%) reflects ensemble weather models from the India Meteorological Department projecting peak daytime heating in Lucknow under persistent clear skies and high solar insolation typical for late March. Differentiating factors include low soil moisture from preceding dry conditions amplifying surface warming, urban heat island effects in the city boosting localized maxima by 1-2°C, and minimal cloud cover allowing unobstructed shortwave radiation. Historical data shows March 26 averages around 33°C, but recent days exceeding 34°C and a warming trend have shifted odds upward, with 34°C or below at 22% hinging on potential afternoon haze or northerly winds—key variables in final hourly observations from official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 26?
35°C 37%
36°C 34%
34°C or below 23%
37°C 3.8%
$58,155 交易量
$58,155 交易量
34°C or below
23%
35°C
37%
36°C
34%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
35°C 37%
36°C 34%
34°C or below 23%
37°C 3.8%
$58,155 交易量
$58,155 交易量
34°C or below
23%
35°C
37%
36°C
34%
37°C
4%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' tight race between 35°C (37%) and 36°C (33.5%) reflects ensemble weather models from the India Meteorological Department projecting peak daytime heating in Lucknow under persistent clear skies and high solar insolation typical for late March. Differentiating factors include low soil moisture from preceding dry conditions amplifying surface warming, urban heat island effects in the city boosting localized maxima by 1-2°C, and minimal cloud cover allowing unobstructed shortwave radiation. Historical data shows March 26 averages around 33°C, but recent days exceeding 34°C and a warming trend have shifted odds upward, with 34°C or below at 22% hinging on potential afternoon haze or northerly winds—key variables in final hourly observations from official stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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