Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (29.0%) for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 27, propelled by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicating daytime maxima of 32-35°C under clear skies and light winds typical of late March. Differentiating factors include ensemble model divergence: ECMWF projections favor 33°C with northerly breezes moderating heat advection, while GFS edges toward 34°C via stronger solar insolation from reduced cloud cover. Historical IMD data pegs March 27 averages at 34.2°C (1981-2020), but recent El Niño residuals and urban heat island effects introduce 0.5-1°C upward bias. Key resolution hinges on airport observations amid 1-2°C forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月27日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
3月27日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
33°C 30%
34°C 30%
35°C 21%
32°C或以下 10%
32°C或以下
10%
33°C
30%
34°C
30%
35°C
21%
36°C
10%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C或以上
<1%
33°C 30%
34°C 30%
35°C 21%
32°C或以下 10%
32°C或以下
10%
33°C
30%
34°C
30%
35°C
21%
36°C
10%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (29.0%) for Lucknow's highest temperature on March 27, propelled by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts indicating daytime maxima of 32-35°C under clear skies and light winds typical of late March. Differentiating factors include ensemble model divergence: ECMWF projections favor 33°C with northerly breezes moderating heat advection, while GFS edges toward 34°C via stronger solar insolation from reduced cloud cover. Historical IMD data pegs March 27 averages at 34.2°C (1981-2020), but recent El Niño residuals and urban heat island effects introduce 0.5-1°C upward bias. Key resolution hinges on airport observations amid 1-2°C forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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